La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Motor Lublin v Górnik Zabrze
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Motor Lublin (Local)
Predicción 32.18%3.11momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -0.934%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.84%32.16%32.21%33.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.812.803.0238.46%35.55%35.71%33.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Górnik Zabrze (Visitante)
Predicción 40.26%2.48momio equitativo
EV -1.77%
Ventaja -0.726%
Kelly -1.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.66%40.26%40.29%41.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.292.292.4448.78%43.64%43.67%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.56%3.63momio equitativo
EV -3.53%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.67%27.59%27.49%28.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.303.303.5033.33%30.27%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.86%EV -2.82%E -0.934%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.06%EV -8.62%E -3.80%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 11:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV -1.77%E -0.726%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.84%EV -8.49%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 11:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV -1.77%E -0.726%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.84%EV -8.49%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -9.02%E -3.99%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 11:10 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 10:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 10:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 10:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 10:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 10:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-08 09:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.32%E -2.54%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 10:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -7.65%E -2.66%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 07:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.71%EV -9.26%E -3.28%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -6.60%E -2.85%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 10:49 |
| Betsson | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.71%EV -9.26%E -3.28%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -6.60%E -2.85%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 10:49 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.17%E -0.895%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.17%E -0.895%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.17%E -0.895%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 10:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.17%E -0.895%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 10:34 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 10:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 10:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 10:35 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 06:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 06:44 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -4.19%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 10:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-08 10:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 10:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-08 10:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -15.46%E -7.36%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-08 09:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.19%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 06:44 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 10:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 10:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 07:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 07:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -15.46%E -7.36%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -17.31%E -5.77%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-03-08 11:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.34%EV -12.15%E -4.45%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.50%EV -12.24%E -5.61%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-08 10:48 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 10:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 10:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -6.60%E -2.85%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-08 10:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -13.45%E -6.25%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-08 10:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.04%EV -14.08%E -5.27%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.36%EV -14.65%E -6.91%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-08 11:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.44%EV -14.73%E -5.56%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -8.21%E -3.60%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-08 10:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -14.73%E -5.56%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-08 10:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.90%EV -16.33%E -6.28%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.46%EV -17.47%E -8.52%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.65%EV -17.31%E -5.77%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 20.6% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 11:05 |
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 11:05 |
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 11:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.56% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.50% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.94% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |