A Escola das Odds

Motor Lublin v Górnik Zabrze

Início: 2026-03-08 11:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Motor Lublin (Local)

Previsão 32.18%3.11odd justa
EV -2.82%
Vantagem -0.934%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.84%32.16%32.21%33.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.812.803.0238.46%35.55%35.71%33.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Górnik Zabrze (Visitante)

Previsão 40.26%2.48odd justa
EV -1.77%
Vantagem -0.726%
Kelly -1.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.66%40.26%40.29%41.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.292.292.4448.78%43.64%43.67%40.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.56%3.63odd justa
EV -3.53%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.67%27.59%27.49%28.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.303.303.5033.33%30.27%30.30%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.86%EV -2.82%E -0.934%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.06%EV -8.62%E -3.80%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 11:04
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV -1.77%E -0.726%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.84%EV -8.49%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 11:10
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV -1.77%E -0.726%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.84%EV -8.49%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 11:09
Marathon Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -9.02%E -3.99%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 11:10
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 10:00
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 10:49
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 11:09
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 11:09
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 10:34
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 10:35
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 10:34
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 09:19
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.32%E -2.54%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 10:49
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -7.65%E -2.66%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 11:09
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 07:24
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.71%EV -9.26%E -3.28%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -6.60%E -2.85%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 10:49
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.71%EV -9.26%E -3.28%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -6.60%E -2.85%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 10:49
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.17%E -0.895%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 10:29
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.17%E -0.895%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 10:29
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.17%E -0.895%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 10:30
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.17%E -0.895%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 10:34
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:35
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:35
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:35
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 06:44
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 06:44
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -4.19%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 10:34
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 10:49
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 10:29
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 10:59
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -15.46%E -7.36%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-08 09:20
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.19%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 06:44
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 11:09
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 10:49
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 10:50
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 11:09
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 07:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 07:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -15.46%E -7.36%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -17.31%E -5.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-08 11:04
Betclic (FR)2.73I 36.63%NM 32.34%EV -12.15%E -4.45%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.50%EV -12.24%E -5.61%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 10:48
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 10:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 10:34
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -6.60%E -2.85%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 10:34
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -13.45%E -6.25%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-08 10:49
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 32.04%EV -14.08%E -5.27%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 40.36%EV -14.65%E -6.91%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-08 11:04
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 33.44%EV -14.73%E -5.56%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -8.21%E -3.60%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-08 10:34
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -14.73%E -5.56%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-08 10:49
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 31.90%EV -16.33%E -6.28%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.46%EV -17.47%E -8.52%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.65%EV -17.31%E -5.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%20.6%2026-03-08 11:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-03-08 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-03-08 11:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-03-08 11:05
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-03-08 11:05
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.0%2026-03-08 11:00
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 32.56%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.94%3.8%2026-03-08 11:09