Szkoła Kursów

Motor Lublin v Górnik Zabrze

Początek: 2026-03-08 11:15 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

48 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Motor Lublin (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 32.18%3.11kurs godziwy
EV -2.82%
Przewaga -0.934%
Kelly -1.40%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.02

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.84%32.16%32.21%33.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.602.812.803.0238.46%35.55%35.71%33.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Górnik Zabrze (Goście)

Prognoza 40.26%2.48kurs godziwy
EV -1.77%
Przewaga -0.726%
Kelly -1.23%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.44

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.66%40.26%40.29%41.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.052.292.292.4448.78%43.64%43.67%40.98%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 27.56%3.63kurs godziwy
EV -3.53%
Przewaga -1.01%
Kelly -1.41%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.67%27.59%27.49%28.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.303.303.5033.33%30.27%30.30%28.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (48 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.86%EV -2.82%E -0.934%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.06%EV -8.62%E -3.80%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 11:04
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV -1.77%E -0.726%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.84%EV -8.49%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 11:10
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.24%EV -1.77%E -0.726%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.84%EV -8.49%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 11:09
Marathon Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.01%EV -9.02%E -3.99%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 11:10
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -3.46%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 10:00
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 10:49
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 11:09
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -5.07%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 11:09
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 10:34
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 10:35
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 10:34
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -6.68%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 09:19
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.32%E -2.54%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 10:49
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -7.65%E -2.66%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 11:09
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.29%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 07:24
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.71%EV -9.26%E -3.28%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -6.60%E -2.85%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 10:49
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.71%EV -9.26%E -3.28%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -6.60%E -2.85%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 10:49
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.17%E -0.895%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 10:29
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.17%E -0.895%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 10:29
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.17%E -0.895%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 10:30
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.17%E -0.895%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 10:34
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:35
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:35
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:35
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 06:44
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 06:44
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -4.19%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 10:34
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 10:49
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 10:29
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 10:59
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -9.90%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -15.46%E -7.36%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-08 09:20
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.19%E -1.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 06:44
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.41%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 11:09
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 10:49
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 10:50
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 11:09
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 07:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 07:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -11.51%E -4.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -15.46%E -7.36%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -17.31%E -5.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-08 11:04
Betclic (FR)2.73I 36.63%NM 32.34%EV -12.15%E -4.45%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.50%EV -12.24%E -5.61%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 10:48
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 10:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -5.40%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 10:34
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -6.60%E -2.85%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 10:34
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -13.45%E -6.25%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-08 10:49
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 32.04%EV -14.08%E -5.27%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 40.36%EV -14.65%E -6.91%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-08 11:04
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 33.44%EV -14.73%E -5.56%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -8.21%E -3.60%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-08 10:34
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -14.73%E -5.56%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-08 10:49
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 31.90%EV -16.33%E -6.28%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.46%EV -17.47%E -8.52%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.65%EV -17.31%E -5.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%20.6%2026-03-08 11:09
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-03-08 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-03-08 11:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-03-08 11:05
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-03-08 11:05
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.0%2026-03-08 11:00
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 32.56%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.94%3.8%2026-03-08 11:09