Language:English
Legia Warszawa v Wisła Płock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Legia Warszawa (Local)
Prediction 52.99%1.89fair odd
EV -4.63%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -5.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.12%52.97%52.99%54.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.731.741.8062.50%57.84%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wisła Płock (Visit)
Prediction 20.24%4.94fair odd
EV +1.22%
Edge +0.244%
Kelly +0.305%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.06%20.27%20.19%21.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.524.605.0025.00%22.13%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.77%3.74fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.627%
Kelly -0.864%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.70%26.76%26.83%28.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.453.503.6532.26%29.00%28.57%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Legia Warszawa (Local): 52.99%; Wisła Płock (Visit): 20.24%; Draw: 26.77%. For Wisła Płock (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.94. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.39%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.61%EV -0.802%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.00%EV -4.70%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.69%E -3.19%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.44%EV -1.00%E -0.205%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.32%EV -5.69%E -3.19%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -1.81%E -0.374%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.32%EV -5.69%E -3.19%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -1.81%E -0.374%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.97%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 19:13 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.42%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.42%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 19:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -8.33%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.98%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.64%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 19:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -13.00%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -13.00%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -13.00%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -7.89%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.64%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -7.89%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.64%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -5.69%E -3.19%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -9.39%E -5.49%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -4.97%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -8.33%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.92%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.64%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.92%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -11.51%E -6.89%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -10.92%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -11.94%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.36%EV -13.10%E -7.99%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.12%EV -11.94%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.35%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.98%EV -8.33%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -12.95%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -12.95%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.57%EV -11.51%E -6.89%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.66%EV -13.96%E -3.29%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.77%EV -12.20%E -3.72%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -14.97%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.86%EV -14.16%E -8.74%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.39%EV -14.97%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.76%EV -14.34%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-02-21 19:18 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.32%EV -10.98%E -6.54%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -17.00%E -4.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.32%E -3.08%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 52.46%EV -15.22%E -9.51%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.47%EV -17.00%E -4.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.07%EV -17.01%E -5.49%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -11.51%E -6.89%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -19.02%E -4.76%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -17.01%E -5.49%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.53% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.99% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48% | 2.1% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |