La scuola delle quote

Legia Warszawa v Wisła Płock

Inizio: 2026-02-21 19:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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50 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Legia Warszawa (Casa)

Previsione 52.99%1.89quota equa
EV -4.63%
Vantaggio -2.57%
Kelly -5.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.12%52.97%52.99%54.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.731.741.8062.50%57.84%57.47%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Wisła Płock (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.24%4.94quota equa
EV +1.22%
Vantaggio +0.244%
Kelly +0.305%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.06%20.27%20.19%21.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.524.605.0025.00%22.13%21.74%20.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.77%3.74quota equa
EV -2.29%
Vantaggio -0.627%
Kelly -0.864%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.70%26.76%26.83%28.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.453.503.6532.26%29.00%28.57%27.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 19:15
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.39%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.61%EV -0.802%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.00%EV -4.70%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 19:15
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.69%E -3.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.44%EV -1.00%E -0.205%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:20
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.32%EV -5.69%E -3.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -1.81%E -0.374%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.32%EV -5.69%E -3.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -1.81%E -0.374%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 18:10
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:15
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.97%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 18:10
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 19:13
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.42%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 19:20
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 53.42%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 19:14
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:45
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:45
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:45
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:45
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:50
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:55
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:55
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:55
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:55
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -8.33%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:55
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 18:10
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.98%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.64%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 19:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 19:19
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -13.00%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 19:15
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -13.00%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 19:15
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -13.00%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 19:15
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -7.89%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.64%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 18:35
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -7.89%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.64%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 18:35
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -5.69%E -3.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:35
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -9.39%E -5.49%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -4.97%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:55
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -8.33%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 19:15
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 18:55
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.92%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.64%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 19:25
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.92%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 18:35
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -11.51%E -6.89%K -17.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -10.92%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 18:55
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -11.94%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-21 19:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.36%EV -13.10%E -7.99%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.12%EV -11.94%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-21 18:15
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.35%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 18:10
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.98%EV -8.33%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 18:10
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -12.95%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 18:35
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -12.95%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-21 19:25
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.57%EV -11.51%E -6.89%K -17.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.66%EV -13.96%E -3.29%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.77%EV -12.20%E -3.72%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-21 19:05
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -14.97%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-21 18:10
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.86%EV -14.16%E -8.74%K -22.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.39%EV -14.97%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.76%EV -14.34%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000%16.8%2026-02-21 19:18
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.32%EV -10.98%E -6.54%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -17.00%E -4.15%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.32%E -3.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-21 18:35
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 52.46%EV -15.22%E -9.51%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.47%EV -17.00%E -4.15%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.07%EV -17.01%E -5.49%K -8.10%G +0.000%19.1%2026-02-21 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -11.51%E -6.89%K -17.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -19.02%E -4.76%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -17.01%E -5.49%K -8.10%G +0.000%17.1%2026-02-21 19:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-02-21 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-02-21 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-02-21 19:05
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-02-21 19:05
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.53%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.1%2026-02-21 19:25