La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Legia Warszawa v Wisła Płock
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Legia Warszawa (Local)
Predicción 52.99%1.89momio equitativo
EV -4.63%
Ventaja -2.57%
Kelly -5.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.12%52.97%52.99%54.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.731.741.8062.50%57.84%57.47%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Wisła Płock (Visitante)
Predicción 20.24%4.94momio equitativo
EV +1.22%
Ventaja +0.244%
Kelly +0.305%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.06%20.27%20.19%21.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.524.605.0025.00%22.13%21.74%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.77%3.74momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -0.627%
Kelly -0.864%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.70%26.76%26.83%28.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.453.503.6532.26%29.00%28.57%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.39%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.61%EV -0.802%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.00%EV -4.70%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.69%E -3.19%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.44%EV -1.00%E -0.205%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.32%EV -5.69%E -3.19%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -1.81%E -0.374%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.32%EV -5.69%E -3.19%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -1.81%E -0.374%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.97%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 19:13 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.42%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| BetUS | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.42%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 19:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| Casumo | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| betPARX | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -8.33%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.98%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.64%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 19:19 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -13.00%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -13.00%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -13.00%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -7.89%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.64%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -7.89%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.64%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -5.69%E -3.19%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -9.39%E -5.49%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -4.97%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -8.33%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.92%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.64%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.92%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -11.51%E -6.89%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -10.92%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -11.94%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.36%EV -13.10%E -7.99%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.12%EV -11.94%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.35%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.98%EV -8.33%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -12.95%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -12.95%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.57%EV -11.51%E -6.89%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.66%EV -13.96%E -3.29%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.77%EV -12.20%E -3.72%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -14.97%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.86%EV -14.16%E -8.74%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.39%EV -14.97%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.76%EV -14.34%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-02-21 19:18 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.32%EV -10.98%E -6.54%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -17.00%E -4.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.32%E -3.08%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 52.46%EV -15.22%E -9.51%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.47%EV -17.00%E -4.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.07%EV -17.01%E -5.49%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -11.51%E -6.89%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -19.02%E -4.76%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -17.01%E -5.49%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.53% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.99% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48% | 2.1% | 2026-02-21 19:25 |