L’École des cotes

Legia Warszawa v Wisła Płock

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 19:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Legia Warszawa (Local)

Prévision 52.99%1.89cote équitable
EV -4.63%
Avantage -2.57%
Kelly -5.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.12%52.97%52.99%54.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.731.741.8062.50%57.84%57.47%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wisła Płock (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.24%4.94cote équitable
EV +1.22%
Avantage +0.244%
Kelly +0.305%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.06%20.27%20.19%21.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.524.605.0025.00%22.13%21.74%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.77%3.74cote équitable
EV -2.29%
Avantage -0.627%
Kelly -0.864%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.70%26.76%26.83%28.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.453.503.6532.26%29.00%28.57%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 19:15
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.39%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.61%EV -0.802%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.00%EV -4.70%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 19:15
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.69%E -3.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.44%EV -1.00%E -0.205%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:20
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.32%EV -5.69%E -3.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -1.81%E -0.374%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.32%EV -5.69%E -3.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -1.81%E -0.374%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 18:10
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:15
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.97%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 18:10
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 19:13
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.42%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 19:20
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 53.42%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 19:14
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:45
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:45
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:45
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:45
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:50
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:55
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:55
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:55
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:55
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -8.33%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:55
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 18:10
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.98%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.64%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 19:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 19:19
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -13.00%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 19:15
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -13.00%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 19:15
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -13.00%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 19:15
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -7.89%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.64%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 18:35
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -7.89%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.64%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 18:35
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -5.69%E -3.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:35
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -9.39%E -5.49%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -4.97%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:55
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -8.33%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 19:15
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 18:55
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.92%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.64%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 19:25
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.92%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 18:35
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -11.51%E -6.89%K -17.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -10.92%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 18:55
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -11.94%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-21 19:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.36%EV -13.10%E -7.99%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.12%EV -11.94%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-21 18:15
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.35%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 18:10
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.98%EV -8.33%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 18:10
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -12.95%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 18:35
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -12.95%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-21 19:25
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.57%EV -11.51%E -6.89%K -17.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.66%EV -13.96%E -3.29%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.77%EV -12.20%E -3.72%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-21 19:05
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -14.97%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-21 18:10
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.86%EV -14.16%E -8.74%K -22.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.39%EV -14.97%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.76%EV -14.34%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000%16.8%2026-02-21 19:18
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.32%EV -10.98%E -6.54%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -17.00%E -4.15%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.32%E -3.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-21 18:35
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 52.46%EV -15.22%E -9.51%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.47%EV -17.00%E -4.15%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.07%EV -17.01%E -5.49%K -8.10%G +0.000%19.1%2026-02-21 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -11.51%E -6.89%K -17.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -19.02%E -4.76%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -17.01%E -5.49%K -8.10%G +0.000%17.1%2026-02-21 19:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-02-21 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-02-21 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-02-21 19:05
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-02-21 19:05
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.53%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.1%2026-02-21 19:25