مدرسة الاحتمالات

Legia Warszawa v Wisła Płock

البداية: 2026-02-21 19:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Legia Warszawa (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.99%1.89السعر العادل
EV -4.63%
الأفضلية -2.57%
Kelly -5.78%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.12%52.97%52.99%54.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.601.731.741.8062.50%57.84%57.47%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Wisła Płock (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.24%4.94السعر العادل
EV +1.22%
الأفضلية +0.244%
Kelly +0.305%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.06%20.27%20.19%21.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.524.605.0025.00%22.13%21.74%20.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.77%3.74السعر العادل
EV -2.29%
الأفضلية -0.627%
Kelly -0.864%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.70%26.76%26.83%28.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.453.503.6532.26%29.00%28.57%27.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 19:15
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.39%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.61%EV -0.802%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.00%EV -4.70%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 19:15
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.69%E -3.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.44%EV -1.00%E -0.205%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:20
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.32%EV -5.69%E -3.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -1.81%E -0.374%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.32%EV -5.69%E -3.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -1.81%E -0.374%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 18:10
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:15
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.97%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 18:10
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 19:13
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.42%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 19:20
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 53.42%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 19:14
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:45
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:45
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:45
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:45
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -2.29%E -0.627%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:50
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:55
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:55
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:55
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:55
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -8.33%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -3.63%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:55
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -7.80%E -4.49%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 18:10
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.98%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.64%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 19:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 19:19
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -13.00%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 19:15
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -13.00%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 19:15
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -6.88%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -13.00%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 19:15
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -7.89%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.64%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 18:35
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -7.89%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.64%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 18:35
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -5.69%E -3.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:35
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -9.39%E -5.49%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -4.97%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:55
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -8.33%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 19:15
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 18:55
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.92%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.64%E -2.22%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 19:25
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -7.27%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.92%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 18:35
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -11.51%E -6.89%K -17.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -10.92%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 18:55
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.80%EV -11.94%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-21 19:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.36%EV -13.10%E -7.99%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.12%EV -11.94%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-21 18:15
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.35%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 18:10
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.98%EV -8.33%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 18:10
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -12.95%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.31%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 18:35
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.86%E -5.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -12.95%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-21 19:25
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.57%EV -11.51%E -6.89%K -17.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.66%EV -13.96%E -3.29%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.77%EV -12.20%E -3.72%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-21 19:05
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -9.92%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -14.97%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.66%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-21 18:10
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.86%EV -14.16%E -8.74%K -22.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.39%EV -14.97%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.76%EV -14.34%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000%16.8%2026-02-21 19:18
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.32%EV -10.98%E -6.54%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -17.00%E -4.15%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.32%E -3.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-21 18:35
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 52.46%EV -15.22%E -9.51%K -25.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.47%EV -17.00%E -4.15%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.07%EV -17.01%E -5.49%K -8.10%G +0.000%19.1%2026-02-21 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -11.51%E -6.89%K -17.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -19.02%E -4.76%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -17.01%E -5.49%K -8.10%G +0.000%17.1%2026-02-21 19:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-02-21 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-02-21 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-02-21 19:05
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-02-21 19:05
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.53%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.1%2026-02-21 19:25