Школа коэффициентов

Legia Warszawa v Górnik Zabrze

Начало: 2026-04-11 18:17 UTC

Итог: Legia Warszawa 1–1 Górnik Zabrze

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

51 букмекерская контора (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Legia Warszawa (Хозяева)

Прогноз 43.90%2.28справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.22%
Преимущество -0.540%
Kelly -0.973%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.05%43.80%44.05%45.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.932.082.072.2551.81%48.14%48.31%44.44%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Górnik Zabrze (Гости)

Прогноз 27.44%3.64справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.48%
Преимущество -0.411%
Kelly -0.570%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.59

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.31%27.40%27.52%28.47%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.343.353.5933.33%29.96%29.85%27.86%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.65%3.49справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.58%
Преимущество -0.760%
Kelly -1.08%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.63%28.79%28.43%30.63%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.193.203.4034.72%31.33%31.25%29.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 42.80%EV -1.22%E -0.540%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.82%EV -1.48%E -0.411%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.38%EV -9.17%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 18:14
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 42.34%EV -4.73%E -2.18%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 18:14
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -5.59%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.11%EV -11.75%E -3.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 18:13
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 42.29%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 18:15
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 42.29%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 18:15
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.18%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.30%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.52%EV -4.59%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 18:14
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -2.58%E -0.760%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 18:14
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 18:14
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 18:15
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:14
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:14
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:14
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 18:15
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.58%E -0.760%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 18:15
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 18:12
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 18:14
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:14
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 18:15
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 18:15
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 18:15
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 18:15
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 18:14
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 18:14
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:15
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:11
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:15
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 18:15
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:15
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 18:14
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 18:15
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 18:15
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.92%E -4.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 18:15
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -11.31%E -5.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:15
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -11.31%E -5.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:15
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -12.19%E -6.10%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 18:15
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -12.19%E -6.10%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -13.55%E -4.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -12.19%E -6.10%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -17.67%E -5.89%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -17.48%E -6.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-11 18:15
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -13.07%E -6.60%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.40%EV -11.36%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.91%EV -9.17%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 18:14
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -13.07%E -6.60%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 18:14
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 45.20%EV -13.51%E -6.86%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 18:15
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.06%EV -14.39%E -7.38%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 18:15
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 44.53%EV -15.27%E -7.91%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.29%EV -13.55%E -4.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.18%EV -12.61%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-11 18:14
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 43.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%2.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60%2.4%2026-04-11 18:15
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.21%6.1%2026-04-11 18:15