La scuola delle quote

Legia Warszawa v Górnik Zabrze

Inizio: 2026-04-11 18:17 UTC

Finale: Legia Warszawa 1–1 Górnik Zabrze

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Legia Warszawa (Casa)

Previsione 43.90%2.28quota equa
EV -1.22%
Vantaggio -0.540%
Kelly -0.973%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.05%43.80%44.05%45.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.932.082.072.2551.81%48.14%48.31%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Górnik Zabrze (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.44%3.64quota equa
EV -1.48%
Vantaggio -0.411%
Kelly -0.570%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.59

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.31%27.40%27.52%28.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.343.353.5933.33%29.96%29.85%27.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.65%3.49quota equa
EV -2.58%
Vantaggio -0.760%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.63%28.79%28.43%30.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.193.203.4034.72%31.33%31.25%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 42.80%EV -1.22%E -0.540%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.82%EV -1.48%E -0.411%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.38%EV -9.17%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 18:14
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 42.34%EV -4.73%E -2.18%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 18:14
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -5.59%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.11%EV -11.75%E -3.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 18:13
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 42.29%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 18:15
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 42.29%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 18:15
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.18%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.30%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.52%EV -4.59%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 18:14
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -2.58%E -0.760%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 18:14
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 18:14
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 18:15
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:14
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:14
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:14
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 18:15
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.58%E -0.760%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 18:15
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 18:12
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 18:14
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:14
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 18:15
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 18:15
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 18:15
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 18:15
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 18:14
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 18:14
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:15
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:11
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:15
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 18:15
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:15
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 18:14
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 18:15
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 18:15
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.92%E -4.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 18:15
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -11.31%E -5.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:15
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -11.31%E -5.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:15
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -12.19%E -6.10%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 18:15
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -12.19%E -6.10%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -13.55%E -4.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -12.19%E -6.10%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -17.67%E -5.89%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -17.48%E -6.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-11 18:15
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -13.07%E -6.60%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.40%EV -11.36%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.91%EV -9.17%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 18:14
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -13.07%E -6.60%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 18:14
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 45.20%EV -13.51%E -6.86%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 18:15
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.06%EV -14.39%E -7.38%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 18:15
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 44.53%EV -15.27%E -7.91%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.29%EV -13.55%E -4.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.18%EV -12.61%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-11 18:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 43.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%2.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60%2.4%2026-04-11 18:15
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.21%6.1%2026-04-11 18:15