Szkoła Kursów

Legia Warszawa v Górnik Zabrze

Początek: 2026-04-11 18:17 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Legia Warszawa 1–1 Górnik Zabrze

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

51 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Legia Warszawa (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 43.90%2.28kurs godziwy
EV -1.22%
Przewaga -0.540%
Kelly -0.973%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.05%43.80%44.05%45.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.932.082.072.2551.81%48.14%48.31%44.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Górnik Zabrze (Goście)

Prognoza 27.44%3.64kurs godziwy
EV -1.48%
Przewaga -0.411%
Kelly -0.570%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.59

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.31%27.40%27.52%28.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.343.353.5933.33%29.96%29.85%27.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.65%3.49kurs godziwy
EV -2.58%
Przewaga -0.760%
Kelly -1.08%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.63%28.79%28.43%30.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.193.203.4034.72%31.33%31.25%29.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 42.80%EV -1.22%E -0.540%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.82%EV -1.48%E -0.411%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.38%EV -9.17%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 18:14
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 42.34%EV -4.73%E -2.18%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 18:14
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -5.59%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.11%EV -11.75%E -3.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 18:13
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 42.29%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 18:15
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 42.29%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 18:15
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.18%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.30%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.52%EV -4.59%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 18:14
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -2.58%E -0.760%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 18:14
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 18:14
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 18:15
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:14
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:14
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:14
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 18:15
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.58%E -0.760%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 18:15
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 18:12
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 18:14
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:14
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 18:15
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 18:15
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 18:15
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 18:15
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 18:14
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 18:14
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:15
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:11
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:15
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 18:15
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:15
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 18:14
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 18:15
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 18:15
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.92%E -4.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 18:15
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -11.31%E -5.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:15
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -11.31%E -5.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:15
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -12.19%E -6.10%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 18:15
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -12.19%E -6.10%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -13.55%E -4.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -12.19%E -6.10%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -17.67%E -5.89%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -17.48%E -6.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-11 18:15
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -13.07%E -6.60%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.40%EV -11.36%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.91%EV -9.17%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 18:14
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -13.07%E -6.60%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 18:14
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 45.20%EV -13.51%E -6.86%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 18:15
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.06%EV -14.39%E -7.38%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 18:15
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 44.53%EV -15.27%E -7.91%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.29%EV -13.55%E -4.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.18%EV -12.61%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-11 18:14
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 43.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%2.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60%2.4%2026-04-11 18:15
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.21%6.1%2026-04-11 18:15