La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Legia Warszawa v Górnik Zabrze
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Legia Warszawa (Local)
Predicción 43.90%2.28momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.540%
Kelly -0.973%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.05%43.80%44.05%45.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.932.082.072.2551.81%48.14%48.31%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Górnik Zabrze (Visitante)
Predicción 27.44%3.64momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.411%
Kelly -0.570%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.31%27.40%27.52%28.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.343.353.5933.33%29.96%29.85%27.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.65%3.49momio equitativo
EV -2.58%
Ventaja -0.760%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.63%28.79%28.43%30.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.193.203.4034.72%31.33%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.80%EV -1.22%E -0.540%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.82%EV -1.48%E -0.411%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.38%EV -9.17%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-11 18:14 |
| BetUS | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.34%EV -4.73%E -2.18%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 18:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -5.59%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.11%EV -11.75%E -3.82%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 18:13 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.29%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.29%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.18%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.30%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.52%EV -4.59%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 18:14 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -2.58%E -0.760%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 18:14 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 18:14 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 18:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 18:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 18:14 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.58%E -0.760%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 18:12 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 18:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 18:14 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 18:14 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 18:14 |
| Grosvenor | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 18:11 |
| Casumo | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| betPARX | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 18:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.92%E -4.81%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -11.31%E -5.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -11.31%E -5.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -12.19%E -6.10%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -12.19%E -6.10%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -13.55%E -4.30%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-11 18:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -12.19%E -6.10%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -17.67%E -5.89%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -17.48%E -6.07%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -13.07%E -6.60%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.40%EV -11.36%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 27.91%EV -9.17%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-11 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -13.07%E -6.60%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-11 18:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.20%EV -13.51%E -6.86%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.06%EV -14.39%E -7.38%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 44.53%EV -15.27%E -7.91%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.29%EV -13.55%E -4.30%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.18%EV -12.61%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-11 18:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.65% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.21% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |