مدرسة الاحتمالات

Legia Warszawa v Górnik Zabrze

البداية: 2026-04-11 18:17 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Legia Warszawa 1–1 Górnik Zabrze

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Legia Warszawa (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.90%2.28السعر العادل
EV -1.22%
الأفضلية -0.540%
Kelly -0.973%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.05%43.80%44.05%45.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.932.082.072.2551.81%48.14%48.31%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Górnik Zabrze (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.44%3.64السعر العادل
EV -1.48%
الأفضلية -0.411%
Kelly -0.570%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.59

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.31%27.40%27.52%28.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.343.353.5933.33%29.96%29.85%27.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.65%3.49السعر العادل
EV -2.58%
الأفضلية -0.760%
Kelly -1.08%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.63%28.79%28.43%30.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.193.203.4034.72%31.33%31.25%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 42.80%EV -1.22%E -0.540%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.82%EV -1.48%E -0.411%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.38%EV -9.17%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 18:14
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 42.34%EV -4.73%E -2.18%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 18:14
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -5.59%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.11%EV -11.75%E -3.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 18:13
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 42.29%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 18:15
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 42.29%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 18:15
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.18%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.30%EV -4.50%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.52%EV -4.59%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 18:14
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -2.58%E -0.760%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 18:14
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 18:14
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 18:15
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:14
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:14
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:14
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 18:15
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.58%E -0.760%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 18:15
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 18:12
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 18:14
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -7.80%E -3.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:14
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 18:15
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 18:15
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 18:15
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 18:15
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 18:14
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 18:14
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:15
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:11
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:15
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 18:15
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:15
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 18:14
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 18:15
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 18:15
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.92%E -4.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 18:15
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -11.31%E -5.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:15
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -11.31%E -5.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 18:15
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -12.19%E -6.10%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.06%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 18:15
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -12.19%E -6.10%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -13.55%E -4.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -12.19%E -6.10%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -17.67%E -5.89%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -17.48%E -6.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-11 18:15
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -13.07%E -6.60%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.40%EV -11.36%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.91%EV -9.17%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 18:14
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -13.07%E -6.60%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 18:14
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 45.20%EV -13.51%E -6.86%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 18:15
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.06%EV -14.39%E -7.38%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -9.75%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 18:15
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 44.53%EV -15.27%E -7.91%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.29%EV -13.55%E -4.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.18%EV -12.61%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-11 18:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83%1.6%2026-04-11 18:15
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 43.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%2.3%2026-04-11 18:15
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60%2.4%2026-04-11 18:15
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.21%6.1%2026-04-11 18:15