預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Lech Poznań v Raków Częstochowa

開賽時間: 2026-09-06 15:30 UTC

最終賽果: Lech Poznań 1–0 Raków Częstochowa

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

53 家博彩公司 (20 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Lech Poznań (主隊)

預測 59.75%1.67公平賠率
EV -4.41%
優勢 -2.75%
Kelly -7.34%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.60

博彩公司預測分布
58.15%59.75%59.74%62.41%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.471.541.531.6068.03%65.00%65.36%62.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Raków Częstochowa (客隊)

預測 18.69%5.35公平賠率
EV -0.955%
優勢 -0.180%
Kelly -0.222%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 5.30

博彩公司預測分布
17.43%18.65%18.68%20.36%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.504.925.005.3022.22%20.34%20.00%18.87%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 21.57%4.64公平賠率
EV +0.495%
優勢 +0.106%
Kelly +0.135%
成長率 +0.001%

假設最高賠率為 4.66

博彩公司預測分布
19.94%21.60%21.59%22.83%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.904.184.204.6625.64%23.93%23.81%21.46%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Lech Poznań (主隊):59.75%;Raków Częstochowa (客隊):18.69%;和局:21.57%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於4.64的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為4.66,對應+0.495%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (53 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊和局 ▼利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.41%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.36%EV -12.92%E -2.77%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.36%EV +0.495%E +0.106%K +0.135%G +0.001%5.4%2026-09-06 15:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41%EV -12.17%E -8.28%K -25.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -0.798%E -0.174%K -0.222%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 15:05
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -4.41%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.32%EV -2.26%E -0.433%K -0.535%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 15:15
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.24%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -1.89%E -0.360%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 14:10
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.55%EV -5.00%E -3.15%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 15:15
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.58%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.43%EV -0.955%E -0.180%K -0.222%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 15:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.19%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 15:15
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.62%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 15:15
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -6.62%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -6.79%E -4.36%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -4.69%E -0.920%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.19%EV -4.69%E -0.920%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.57%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 15:15
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -4.69%E -0.920%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 11:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.56%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.11%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.45%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -15.91%E -3.53%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 15:15
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.73%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -8.35%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 15:15
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.73%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -8.35%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 15:15
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 15:15
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 15:15
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 15:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 15:15
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 15:15
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 11:10
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 15:23
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 15:15
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 15:15
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.25%EV -6.79%E -4.36%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -10.50%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 15:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.42%EV -10.98%E -7.37%K -22.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.33%EV -10.50%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 15:15
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -11.58%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.26%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -11.58%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -10.98%E -7.37%K -22.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -11.58%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-06 15:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.59%EV -12.17%E -8.28%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.04%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -11.58%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-06 15:09
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 15:10
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -9.36%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 15:15
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.85%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -8.43%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 15:15
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.82%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -11.23%E -2.36%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 14:15
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 15:15
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -11.23%E -2.36%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 11:10
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -15.91%E -3.53%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-06 15:20
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.61%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -14.82%E -3.75%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -11.23%E -2.36%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -15.89%E -4.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-06 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -11.23%E -2.36%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -15.89%E -4.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-06 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -11.23%E -2.36%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -15.89%E -4.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-06 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -11.23%E -2.36%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -15.89%E -4.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-06 15:15
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 62.00%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-09-06 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.54%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-09-06 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.54%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-09-06 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.54%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-09-06 15:20
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.41%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.24%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.36%1.8%2026-09-06 15:25
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.65%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62%1.9%2026-09-06 14:46