语言:简体中文
Lech Poznań v Raków Częstochowa
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Lech Poznań (主队)
预测 59.75%1.67公平赔率
EV -4.41%
优势 -2.75%
Kelly -7.34%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.60
博彩公司预测分布
58.15%59.75%59.74%62.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.471.541.531.6068.03%65.00%65.36%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
Raków Częstochowa (客队)
预测 18.69%5.35公平赔率
EV -0.955%
优势 -0.180%
Kelly -0.222%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.30
博彩公司预测分布
17.43%18.65%18.68%20.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.504.925.005.3022.22%20.34%20.00%18.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 21.57%4.64公平赔率
EV +0.495%
优势 +0.106%
Kelly +0.135%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 4.66
博彩公司预测分布
19.94%21.60%21.59%22.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.184.204.6625.64%23.93%23.81%21.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Lech Poznań (主队)：59.75%；Raków Częstochowa (客队)：18.69%；平局：21.57%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.64。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.66，对应+0.495%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.41%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.36%EV -12.92%E -2.77%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.36%EV +0.495%E +0.106%K +0.135%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41%EV -12.17%E -8.28%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -0.798%E -0.174%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -4.41%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.32%EV -2.26%E -0.433%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.24%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -1.89%E -0.360%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 14:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.55%EV -5.00%E -3.15%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.58%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.43%EV -0.955%E -0.180%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.19%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.62%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -6.62%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -6.79%E -4.36%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -4.69%E -0.920%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.19%EV -4.69%E -0.920%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.57%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -4.69%E -0.920%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 11:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.56%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.11%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.45%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -15.91%E -3.53%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.73%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -8.35%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.73%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -8.35%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 11:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 15:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 11:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.25%EV -6.79%E -4.36%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -10.50%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 15:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.42%EV -10.98%E -7.37%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.33%EV -10.50%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -11.58%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.26%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -11.58%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -10.98%E -7.37%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -11.58%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.59%EV -12.17%E -8.28%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.04%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -11.58%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-06 15:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -9.36%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.85%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -8.43%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.82%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -11.23%E -2.36%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 14:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -11.23%E -2.36%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-06 11:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -15.91%E -3.53%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.61%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -14.82%E -3.75%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -11.23%E -2.36%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -15.89%E -4.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -11.23%E -2.36%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -15.89%E -4.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -11.23%E -2.36%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -15.89%E -4.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -11.23%E -2.36%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -15.89%E -4.08%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 62.00% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.54% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.54% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.54% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.41% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.24% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.36% | 1.8% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.65% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 14:46 |