StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Lech Poznań v Raków Częstochowa

Matchstart: 2026-09-06 15:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Lech Poznań 1–0 Raków Częstochowa

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Lech Poznań (Hemma)

Prognos 59.75%1.67rättvist odds
EV -4.41%
Fördel -2.75%
Kelly -7.34%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
58.15%59.75%59.74%62.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.471.541.531.6068.03%65.00%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Raków Częstochowa (Borta)

Prognos 18.69%5.35rättvist odds
EV -0.955%
Fördel -0.180%
Kelly -0.222%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.43%18.65%18.68%20.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.504.925.005.3022.22%20.34%20.00%18.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 21.57%4.64rättvist odds
EV +0.495%
Fördel +0.106%
Kelly +0.135%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.66

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.94%21.60%21.59%22.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.904.184.204.6625.64%23.93%23.81%21.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Lech Poznań (Hemma): 59.75%; Raków Częstochowa (Borta): 18.69%; Oavgjort: 21.57%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.64. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.66, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.495%.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.41%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.36%EV -12.92%E -2.77%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.36%EV +0.495%E +0.106%K +0.135%G +0.001%5.4%2026-09-06 15:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41%EV -12.17%E -8.28%K -25.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -0.798%E -0.174%K -0.222%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 15:05
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -4.41%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.32%EV -2.26%E -0.433%K -0.535%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 15:15
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.24%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -1.89%E -0.360%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 14:10
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.55%EV -5.00%E -3.15%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 15:15
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.58%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.43%EV -0.955%E -0.180%K -0.222%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -5.11%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 15:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.19%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 15:15
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.62%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 15:15
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -6.62%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -6.79%E -4.36%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -4.69%E -0.920%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.19%EV -4.69%E -0.920%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.57%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 15:15
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -4.69%E -0.920%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 11:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.56%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.11%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.45%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -15.91%E -3.53%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -7.27%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 15:15
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.73%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -8.35%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 15:15
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.73%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -8.35%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 15:15
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 15:15
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 15:15
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -2.82%E -0.543%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 15:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 15:15
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 15:15
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 11:10
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 15:23
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 15:15
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.42%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 15:15
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.25%EV -6.79%E -4.36%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -10.50%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 15:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.42%EV -10.98%E -7.37%K -22.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.33%EV -10.50%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 15:15
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -6.56%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -11.58%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.26%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -11.58%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -10.98%E -7.37%K -22.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -11.58%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-06 15:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.59%EV -12.17%E -8.28%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.04%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -11.58%E -2.82%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-06 15:09
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 15:10
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -9.36%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 15:15
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.85%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -8.43%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 15:15
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.82%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -11.23%E -2.36%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 14:15
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -14.04%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 15:15
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -11.23%E -2.36%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 11:10
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -15.91%E -3.53%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -13.74%E -3.43%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-06 15:20
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.61%EV -8.59%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -10.30%E -2.15%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -14.82%E -3.75%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -11.23%E -2.36%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -15.89%E -4.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-06 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -11.23%E -2.36%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -15.89%E -4.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-06 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -11.23%E -2.36%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -15.89%E -4.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-06 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -11.23%E -2.36%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -15.89%E -4.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-06 15:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 62.00%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-09-06 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.54%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-09-06 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.54%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-09-06 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.54%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-09-06 15:20
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.41%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.24%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.36%1.8%2026-09-06 15:25
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.65%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62%1.9%2026-09-06 14:46