Language:English
Lech Poznań v Piast Gliwice
Head to Head
Lech Poznań (Local)
Prediction 58.01%1.72fair odd
EV -6.02%
Edge -3.72%
Kelly -9.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.57%58.00%57.92%59.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.571.581.6265.79%63.59%63.49%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Piast Gliwice (Visit)
Prediction 18.78%5.32fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.450%
Kelly -0.557%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.68%18.76%18.85%20.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.784.855.2023.26%20.92%20.62%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.21%4.31fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.86%23.24%23.23%23.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.903.954.1227.78%25.63%25.32%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Lech Poznań (Local): 58.01%; Piast Gliwice (Visit): 18.78%; Draw: 23.21%. For Piast Gliwice (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.32. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.20, with an expected value of -2.34%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.33%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.15%EV -8.91%E -1.84%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-03 04:24 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.33%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.15%EV -8.91%E -1.84%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-03 04:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -6.60%E -4.10%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.08I 19.69%NM 18.56%EV -4.59%E -0.904%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.88%EV -4.38%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 04:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -7.19%E -4.49%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-03 04:24 |
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.55%EV -7.77%E -4.88%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.47%EV -5.35%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.98%EV -6.00%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 04:25 |
| Bovada | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.34%EV -8.35%E -5.28%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.62%EV -7.04%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 06:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.98%EV -8.93%E -5.68%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -4.22%E -0.827%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -6.00%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 04:23 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -10.09%E -6.51%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -2.34%E -0.450%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 05:17 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.59%EV -10.09%E -6.51%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.71%EV -16.43%E -3.69%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-03 04:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 56.97%EV -10.67%E -6.93%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -17.36%E -3.95%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-03 04:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 56.68%EV -11.83%E -7.78%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.04%EV -19.24%E -4.48%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.28%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-08-03 04:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 56.57%EV -11.83%E -7.78%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.54%EV -17.36%E -3.95%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -16.44%E -4.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-08-03 04:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.