Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Lech Poznań v Piast Gliwice

Inizio: 2026-08-09 15:30 UTC

Finale: Lech Poznań 3–0 Piast Gliwice

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

53 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Lech Poznań (Casa)

Previsione 59.94%1.67quota equa
EV -4.70%
Vantaggio -2.96%
Kelly -7.97%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.59

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.82%59.94%59.90%62.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.531.541.5969.44%65.38%64.94%62.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Piast Gliwice (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.46%5.42quota equa
EV +1.54%
Vantaggio +0.280%
Kelly +0.342%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.76%18.41%18.68%19.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.065.005.5022.22%19.77%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 21.60%4.63quota equa
EV -2.79%
Vantaggio -0.620%
Kelly -0.797%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.82%21.65%21.42%23.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.854.184.204.5025.97%23.92%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Lech Poznań (Casa): 59.94%; Piast Gliwice (Trasferta): 18.46%; Pareggio: 21.60%. Per Piast Gliwice (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.42. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 5.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.54%.

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.29%E -7.63%K -23.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +1.54%E +0.280%K +0.342%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -4.95%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 15:08
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.90%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.71%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.39%EV -3.44%E -0.769%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 15:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 15:20
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 15:20
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 15:20
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 15:20
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 15:20
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.34%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 15:05
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 15:10
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.49%EV -9.50%E -6.29%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 15:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 15:20
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -6.50%E -4.17%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -3.08%E -0.586%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.95%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -3.08%E -0.586%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.46%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 15:10
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -3.08%E -0.586%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 15:19
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -3.08%E -0.586%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 15:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -4.00%E -0.769%K -0.952%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 03:04
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -4.70%E -2.96%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.35%EV -4.37%E -0.843%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%EV -6.03%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.72%EV -13.69%E -9.51%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.14%EV -5.84%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.14%EV -14.67%E -3.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-09 15:20
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -4.95%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.25%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 12:30
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.11%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -6.46%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 12:10
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 03:10
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 15:19
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 15:19
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 09:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 15:10
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 10:00
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -16.83%E -4.37%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 03:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -11.89%E -8.09%K -25.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 15:15
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.60%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -8.61%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 12:30
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.60%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -8.61%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 12:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.54%E -1.95%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 12:30
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.48%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -9.54%E -1.95%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 15:10
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.75%E -4.04%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.75%E -4.04%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.75%E -4.04%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 14:30
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 09:55
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.31%E -2.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -6.46%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -13.23%E -2.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 12:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.19%EV -10.70%E -7.18%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.76%EV -13.23%E -2.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-09 15:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.19%EV -10.70%E -7.18%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.76%EV -13.23%E -2.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-09 15:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 59.84%EV -13.09%E -9.03%K -29.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.46%EV -13.23%E -2.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.69%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-09 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.09%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.08%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 12:30
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.08%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 09:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.08%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 09:55
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -16.92%E -3.76%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-09 14:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-08-09 15:25
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%1.1%2026-08-09 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-08-09 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-08-09 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-08-09 15:25
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-08-09 15:25