Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.59
avec la cote maximale 5.50
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Lech Poznań (Local) : 59.94% ; Piast Gliwice (Visiteur) : 18.46% ; Match nul : 21.60%. Pour Piast Gliwice (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.42. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.50, soit une espérance positive de +1.54%.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.29%E -7.63%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +1.54%E +0.280%K +0.342%G +0.005% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -4.95%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 15:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.90%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.71%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.39%EV -3.44%E -0.769%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.34%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.49%EV -9.50%E -6.29%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -6.50%E -4.17%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -3.08%E -0.586%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.95%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -3.08%E -0.586%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.46%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -3.08%E -0.586%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 15:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -3.08%E -0.586%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 15:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -4.00%E -0.769%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 03:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -4.70%E -2.96%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.35%EV -4.37%E -0.843%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%EV -6.03%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 15:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.72%EV -13.69%E -9.51%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.14%EV -5.84%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.14%EV -14.67%E -3.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -4.95%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.25%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.11%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -6.46%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 12:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 03:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 15:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 15:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 10:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -16.83%E -4.37%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 03:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -11.89%E -8.09%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.60%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -8.61%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.60%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -8.61%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.54%E -1.95%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.48%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -9.54%E -1.95%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.75%E -4.04%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.75%E -4.04%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.75%E -4.04%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.31%E -2.59%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -6.46%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -13.23%E -2.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.19%EV -10.70%E -7.18%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.76%EV -13.23%E -2.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-09 15:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.19%EV -10.70%E -7.18%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.76%EV -13.23%E -2.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.84%EV -13.09%E -9.03%K -29.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.46%EV -13.23%E -2.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.69%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.09%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.08%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.08%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-09 09:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.08%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -16.92%E -3.76%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 0.7% | 2026-08-09 15:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 15:25 |