语言:简体中文
Lech Poznań v Piast Gliwice
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Lech Poznań (主队)
预测 59.94%1.67公平赔率
EV -4.70%
优势 -2.96%
Kelly -7.97%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.59
博彩公司预测分布
57.82%59.94%59.90%62.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.531.541.5969.44%65.38%64.94%62.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
Piast Gliwice (客队)
预测 18.46%5.42公平赔率
EV +1.54%
优势 +0.280%
Kelly +0.342%
增长率 +0.005%
假设最高赔率为 5.50
博彩公司预测分布
16.76%18.41%18.68%19.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.065.005.5022.22%19.77%20.00%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 21.60%4.63公平赔率
EV -2.79%
优势 -0.620%
Kelly -0.797%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.50
博彩公司预测分布
20.82%21.65%21.42%23.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.854.184.204.5025.97%23.92%23.81%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Lech Poznań (主队)：59.94%；Piast Gliwice (客队)：18.46%；平局：21.60%。 对于“Piast Gliwice (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.42。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.50，对应+1.54%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.29%E -7.63%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +1.54%E +0.280%K +0.342%G +0.005% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -4.95%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 15:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.90%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.71%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.39%EV -3.44%E -0.769%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.34%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.49%EV -9.50%E -6.29%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -6.50%E -4.17%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -3.08%E -0.586%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.95%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -3.08%E -0.586%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.46%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -3.08%E -0.586%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 15:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -3.08%E -0.586%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 15:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -4.00%E -0.769%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 03:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -4.70%E -2.96%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.35%EV -4.37%E -0.843%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%EV -6.03%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 15:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.72%EV -13.69%E -9.51%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.14%EV -5.84%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.14%EV -14.67%E -3.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -4.95%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.25%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.11%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -6.46%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 12:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 03:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 15:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 15:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 10:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -16.83%E -4.37%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 03:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -11.89%E -8.09%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.60%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -8.61%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.60%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -8.61%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.54%E -1.95%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.48%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -9.54%E -1.95%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.75%E -4.04%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.75%E -4.04%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.75%E -4.04%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.31%E -2.59%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -6.46%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -13.23%E -2.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.19%EV -10.70%E -7.18%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.76%EV -13.23%E -2.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-09 15:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.19%EV -10.70%E -7.18%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.76%EV -13.23%E -2.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.84%EV -13.09%E -9.03%K -29.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.46%EV -13.23%E -2.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.69%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.09%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.08%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.08%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-09 09:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.08%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-09 09:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -16.92%E -3.76%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 0.7% | 2026-08-09 15:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 15:25 |