默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lech Poznań v Piast Gliwice

2026-08-09 15:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

胜负盘

12 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lech Poznań (主队)

预测 58.01%1.72公平赔率
EV -6.02%
优势 -3.72%
Kelly -9.72%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.62

博彩公司预测分布
56.57%58.00%57.92%59.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.521.571.581.6265.79%63.59%63.49%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

Piast Gliwice (客队)

预测 18.78%5.32公平赔率
EV -2.34%
优势 -0.450%
Kelly -0.557%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.20

博彩公司预测分布
17.68%18.76%18.85%20.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.304.784.855.2023.26%20.92%20.62%19.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.21%4.31公平赔率
EV -4.38%
优势 -1.06%
Kelly -1.40%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.12

博彩公司预测分布
22.86%23.24%23.23%23.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.903.954.1227.78%25.63%25.32%24.27%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Lech Poznań (主队):58.01%;Piast Gliwice (客队):18.78%;平局:23.21%。 对于“Piast Gliwice (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.32。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为5.20,期望值为-2.34%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (12 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.33%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.15%EV -8.91%E -1.84%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 04:24
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.33%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.15%EV -8.91%E -1.84%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 04:24
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -6.60%E -4.10%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.56%EV -4.59%E -0.904%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.88%EV -4.38%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 04:24
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -7.19%E -4.49%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -10.79%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-03 04:24
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.55%EV -7.77%E -4.88%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.47%EV -5.35%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.98%EV -6.00%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 04:25
Bovada1.58I 63.29%NM 58.34%EV -8.35%E -5.28%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.62%EV -7.04%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 06:24
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.98%EV -8.93%E -5.68%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -4.22%E -0.827%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -6.00%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 04:23
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -10.09%E -6.51%K -18.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -2.34%E -0.450%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-03 05:17
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.59%EV -10.09%E -6.51%K -18.34%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.71%EV -16.43%E -3.69%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-03 04:24
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 56.97%EV -10.67%E -6.93%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -17.36%E -3.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-03 04:24
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 56.68%EV -11.83%E -7.78%K -22.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.04%EV -19.24%E -4.48%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.28%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-03 04:25
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 56.57%EV -11.83%E -7.78%K -22.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.54%EV -17.36%E -3.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -16.44%E -4.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-03 04:24
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。