StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Lech Poznań v Piast Gliwice

Matchstart: 2026-08-09 15:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Lech Poznań 3–0 Piast Gliwice

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Lech Poznań (Hemma)

Prognos 59.94%1.67rättvist odds
EV -4.70%
Fördel -2.96%
Kelly -7.97%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.59

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
57.82%59.94%59.90%62.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.441.531.541.5969.44%65.38%64.94%62.89%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Piast Gliwice (Borta)

Prognos 18.46%5.42rättvist odds
EV +1.54%
Fördel +0.280%
Kelly +0.342%
Tillväxt +0.005%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.76%18.41%18.68%19.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.505.065.005.5022.22%19.77%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 21.60%4.63rättvist odds
EV -2.79%
Fördel -0.620%
Kelly -0.797%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.82%21.65%21.42%23.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.854.184.204.5025.97%23.92%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Lech Poznań (Hemma): 59.94%; Piast Gliwice (Borta): 18.46%; Oavgjort: 21.60%. För Piast Gliwice (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.42. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.54%.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -11.29%E -7.63%K -23.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +1.54%E +0.280%K +0.342%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -4.95%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 15:08
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.90%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.71%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.39%EV -3.44%E -0.769%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 15:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 15:20
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 15:20
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 15:20
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 15:20
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -0.306%E -0.057%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 15:20
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.34%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 15:05
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 15:10
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.49%EV -9.50%E -6.29%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 15:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 15:20
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -6.50%E -4.17%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -3.08%E -0.586%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.95%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -3.08%E -0.586%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.46%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 15:10
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -3.08%E -0.586%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 15:19
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -3.08%E -0.586%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 15:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -4.00%E -0.769%K -0.952%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 03:04
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -4.70%E -2.96%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.35%EV -4.37%E -0.843%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%EV -6.03%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.72%EV -13.69%E -9.51%K -31.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.14%EV -5.84%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.14%EV -14.67%E -3.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-09 15:20
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -4.95%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.25%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 12:30
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.11%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -6.46%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 12:10
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 03:10
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 15:19
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 15:19
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 09:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 15:10
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 10:00
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -16.83%E -4.37%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 03:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -11.89%E -8.09%K -25.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 15:15
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.60%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -8.61%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 12:30
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.60%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -8.61%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 12:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.54%E -1.95%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 12:30
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.48%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -9.54%E -1.95%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 15:10
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.75%E -4.04%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.75%E -4.04%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -15.75%E -4.04%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 14:30
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 09:55
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.31%E -2.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -6.46%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -13.23%E -2.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 12:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.19%EV -10.70%E -7.18%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.76%EV -13.23%E -2.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-09 15:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.19%EV -10.70%E -7.18%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.76%EV -13.23%E -2.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-09 15:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 59.84%EV -13.09%E -9.03%K -29.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.46%EV -13.23%E -2.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.69%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-09 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.09%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -15.08%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 12:30
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.08%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 09:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.08%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 09:55
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -10.10%E -6.73%K -20.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -16.92%E -3.76%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-09 14:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-08-09 15:25
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%1.1%2026-08-09 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-08-09 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-08-09 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-08-09 15:25
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-08-09 15:25