A Escola das Odds

Lech Poznań v Legia Warszawa

Início: 2026-04-26 15:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Lech Poznań (Local)

Previsão 46.36%2.16odd justa
EV -3.57%
Vantagem -1.72%
Kelly -3.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.39%46.40%46.36%48.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.951.952.0854.64%51.16%51.28%48.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Legia Warszawa (Visitante)

Previsão 27.45%3.64odd justa
EV +0.206%
Vantagem +0.056%
Kelly +0.078%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.73%27.36%27.44%28.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.953.373.403.6533.90%29.68%29.41%27.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.18%3.82odd justa
EV -4.43%
Vantagem -1.21%
Kelly -1.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.40%26.24%26.20%28.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.463.503.6533.33%28.86%28.57%27.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV +0.206%E +0.056%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:35
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV +0.206%E +0.056%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:35
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV +0.206%E +0.056%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:35
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV +0.206%E +0.056%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:35
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 15:35
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 15:35
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 15:35
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 15:35
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 15:35
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -11.45%E -5.99%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -2.54%E -0.715%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:35
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 09:30
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -12.38%E -6.55%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -12.84%E -6.83%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 15:35
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -13.30%E -7.11%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 15:35
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 46.83%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.26%EV -4.74%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -4.43%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 15:59
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 48.07%EV -14.23%E -7.69%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 15:35
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.55%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.22%EV -6.11%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 16:09
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.80%EV -8.20%E -4.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -6.11%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 15:59
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -3.57%E -1.72%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:04
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 15:35
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:33
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 14:54
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 14:54
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 15:58
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -15.16%E -8.28%K -18.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 15:35
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 16:50
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 16:50
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -8.20%E -4.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 16:06
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -8.20%E -4.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 16:04
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:03
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 05:05
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 21:04
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 21:04
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 16:10
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 14:49
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 14:49
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 14:49
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 20:49
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -8.20%E -4.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-21 15:30
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-21 15:30
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.04%EV -12.38%E -6.55%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.77%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-20 15:35
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 45.36%EV -8.67%E -4.40%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 02:00
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.10%EV -13.30%E -7.11%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.37%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.53%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-19 16:48
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 46.37%EV -14.23%E -7.69%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.23%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.40%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-23 05:09
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 21:05
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -11.45%E -5.99%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-20 21:54
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.87%EV -11.91%E -6.27%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-19 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -11.45%E -5.99%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -21.45%E -7.15%K -10.72%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-23 21:05
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 45.21%EV -13.77%E -7.40%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.51%EV -19.01%E -6.44%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.28%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000%18.9%2026-04-19 16:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%6.2%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%6.2%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%6.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%7.5%2026-04-24 03:50
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 45.43%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.45%10.1%2026-04-24 00:29