Szkoła Kursów

Lech Poznań v Legia Warszawa

Początek: 2026-04-26 15:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

51 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Lech Poznań (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 46.36%2.16kurs godziwy
EV -3.57%
Przewaga -1.72%
Kelly -3.30%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.08

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
44.39%46.40%46.36%48.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.831.951.952.0854.64%51.16%51.28%48.08%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Legia Warszawa (Goście)

Prognoza 27.45%3.64kurs godziwy
EV +0.206%
Przewaga +0.056%
Kelly +0.078%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.65

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.73%27.36%27.44%28.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.953.373.403.6533.90%29.68%29.41%27.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 26.18%3.82kurs godziwy
EV -4.43%
Przewaga -1.21%
Kelly -1.67%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.65

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.40%26.24%26.20%28.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.463.503.6533.33%28.86%28.57%27.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV +0.206%E +0.056%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:35
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV +0.206%E +0.056%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:35
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV +0.206%E +0.056%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:35
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV +0.206%E +0.056%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:35
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 15:35
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 15:35
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 15:35
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 15:35
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 15:35
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -11.45%E -5.99%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -2.54%E -0.715%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:35
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 09:30
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -12.38%E -6.55%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -12.84%E -6.83%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 15:35
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -13.30%E -7.11%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 15:35
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 46.83%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.26%EV -4.74%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -4.43%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 15:59
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 48.07%EV -14.23%E -7.69%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 15:35
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.55%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.22%EV -6.11%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 16:09
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.80%EV -8.20%E -4.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -6.11%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 15:59
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -3.57%E -1.72%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:04
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 15:35
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:33
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 14:54
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 14:54
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 15:58
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -15.16%E -8.28%K -18.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 15:35
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 16:50
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 16:50
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -8.20%E -4.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 16:06
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -8.20%E -4.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 16:04
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:03
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 05:05
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 21:04
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 21:04
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 16:10
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 14:49
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 14:49
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 14:49
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 20:49
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -8.20%E -4.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-21 15:30
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-21 15:30
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.04%EV -12.38%E -6.55%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.77%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-20 15:35
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 45.36%EV -8.67%E -4.40%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 02:00
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.10%EV -13.30%E -7.11%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.37%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.53%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-19 16:48
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 46.37%EV -14.23%E -7.69%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.23%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.40%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-23 05:09
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 21:05
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -11.45%E -5.99%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-20 21:54
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.87%EV -11.91%E -6.27%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-19 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -11.45%E -5.99%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -21.45%E -7.15%K -10.72%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-23 21:05
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 45.21%EV -13.77%E -7.40%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.51%EV -19.01%E -6.44%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.28%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000%18.9%2026-04-19 16:50
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%6.2%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%6.2%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%6.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%7.5%2026-04-24 03:50
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 45.43%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.45%10.1%2026-04-24 00:29