Langue:Français
Lech Poznań v Legia Warszawa
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lech Poznań (Local)
Prévision 46.36%2.16cote équitable
EV -3.57%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -3.30%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.39%46.40%46.36%48.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.951.952.0854.64%51.16%51.28%48.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Legia Warszawa (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.45%3.64cote équitable
EV +0.206%
Avantage +0.056%
Kelly +0.078%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.73%27.36%27.44%28.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.373.403.6533.90%29.68%29.41%27.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 26.18%3.82cote équitable
EV -4.43%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -1.67%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.40%26.24%26.20%28.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.463.503.6533.33%28.86%28.57%27.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Lech Poznań (Local) : 46.36% ; Legia Warszawa (Visiteur) : 27.45% ; Match nul : 26.18%. Pour Legia Warszawa (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.64. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.65, soit une espérance positive de +0.206%.
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV +0.206%E +0.056%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV +0.206%E +0.056%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV +0.206%E +0.056%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV +0.206%E +0.056%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -11.45%E -5.99%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -2.54%E -0.715%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 09:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -12.38%E -6.55%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -12.84%E -6.83%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -13.30%E -7.11%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.83%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.26%EV -4.74%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -4.43%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.07%EV -14.23%E -7.69%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.55%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.22%EV -6.11%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.80%EV -8.20%E -4.14%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -6.11%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -3.57%E -1.72%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 15:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 15:33 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 15:58 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -15.16%E -8.28%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -8.20%E -4.14%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 16:06 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -8.20%E -4.14%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 21:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 05:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 14:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 14:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 14:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 20:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -8.20%E -4.14%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-21 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-21 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.04%EV -12.38%E -6.55%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.77%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-20 15:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.36%EV -8.67%E -4.40%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.10%EV -13.30%E -7.11%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.37%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.53%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-19 16:48 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.37%EV -14.23%E -7.69%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.23%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.40%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-23 05:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -11.45%E -5.99%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-20 21:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.87%EV -11.91%E -6.27%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-19 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -11.45%E -5.99%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -21.45%E -7.15%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 45.21%EV -13.77%E -7.40%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.51%EV -19.01%E -6.44%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.28%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-04-19 16:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.43% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.12% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 25.45% | 10.1% | 2026-04-24 00:29 |