مدرسة الاحتمالات

Lech Poznań v Legia Warszawa

البداية: 2026-04-26 15:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Lech Poznań (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.36%2.16السعر العادل
EV -3.57%
الأفضلية -1.72%
Kelly -3.30%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.08

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.39%46.40%46.36%48.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.831.951.952.0854.64%51.16%51.28%48.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Legia Warszawa (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.45%3.64السعر العادل
EV +0.206%
الأفضلية +0.056%
Kelly +0.078%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.73%27.36%27.44%28.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.953.373.403.6533.90%29.68%29.41%27.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.18%3.82السعر العادل
EV -4.43%
الأفضلية -1.21%
Kelly -1.67%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.40%26.24%26.20%28.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.463.503.6533.33%28.86%28.57%27.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV +0.206%E +0.056%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:35
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV +0.206%E +0.056%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:35
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV +0.206%E +0.056%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:35
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV +0.206%E +0.056%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:35
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 15:35
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 15:35
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 15:35
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 15:35
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 15:35
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -11.45%E -5.99%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -2.54%E -0.715%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:35
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 09:30
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -12.38%E -6.55%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -12.84%E -6.83%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 15:35
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -13.30%E -7.11%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 15:35
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 46.83%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.26%EV -4.74%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -4.43%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 15:59
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 48.07%EV -14.23%E -7.69%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 15:35
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.55%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.22%EV -6.11%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 16:09
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.80%EV -8.20%E -4.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -6.11%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 15:59
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -3.57%E -1.72%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:04
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 15:35
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:33
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 14:54
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 14:54
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 15:58
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -15.16%E -8.28%K -18.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 15:35
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 16:50
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 16:50
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -8.20%E -4.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 16:06
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -8.20%E -4.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 16:04
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:03
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 05:05
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 21:04
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 21:04
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 16:10
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 14:49
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 14:49
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 14:49
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 20:49
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -8.20%E -4.14%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-21 15:30
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-21 15:30
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.04%EV -12.38%E -6.55%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.77%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-20 15:35
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 45.36%EV -8.67%E -4.40%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 02:00
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.10%EV -13.30%E -7.11%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.37%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.53%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-19 16:48
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 46.37%EV -14.23%E -7.69%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.23%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.40%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-23 05:09
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 21:05
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -11.45%E -5.99%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-20 21:54
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.87%EV -11.91%E -6.27%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-19 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -11.45%E -5.99%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -21.45%E -7.15%K -10.72%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-23 21:05
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 45.21%EV -13.77%E -7.40%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.51%EV -19.01%E -6.44%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.28%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000%18.9%2026-04-19 16:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%6.2%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%6.2%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%6.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%7.5%2026-04-24 03:50
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 45.43%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.45%10.1%2026-04-24 00:29