La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Lech Poznań v Legia Warszawa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lech Poznań (Local)
Predicción 46.36%2.16momio equitativo
EV -3.57%
Ventaja -1.72%
Kelly -3.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.39%46.40%46.36%48.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.951.952.0854.64%51.16%51.28%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Legia Warszawa (Visitante)
Predicción 27.45%3.64momio equitativo
EV +0.206%
Ventaja +0.056%
Kelly +0.078%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.73%27.36%27.44%28.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.373.403.6533.90%29.68%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.18%3.82momio equitativo
EV -4.43%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.40%26.24%26.20%28.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.463.503.6533.33%28.86%28.57%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV +0.206%E +0.056%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV +0.206%E +0.056%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV +0.206%E +0.056%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV +0.206%E +0.056%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -11.45%E -5.99%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -2.54%E -0.715%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.52%E -5.45%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 09:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -12.38%E -6.55%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -12.84%E -6.83%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -13.30%E -7.11%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.83%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.26%EV -4.74%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -4.43%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.07%EV -14.23%E -7.69%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.55%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.22%EV -6.11%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.80%EV -8.20%E -4.14%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -6.11%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -3.57%E -1.72%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 15:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 15:33 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 15:58 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -15.16%E -8.28%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-19 15:35 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 16:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 16:50 |
| Bovada | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -8.20%E -4.14%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 16:06 |
| BetUS | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -8.20%E -4.14%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 21:03 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 05:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 14:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 14:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 14:49 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 20:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -8.20%E -4.14%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-21 15:30 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-21 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.04%EV -12.38%E -6.55%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.77%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-20 15:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.36%EV -8.67%E -4.40%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.10%EV -13.30%E -7.11%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.37%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.53%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-19 16:48 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.37%EV -14.23%E -7.69%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.23%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.40%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-23 05:09 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -11.45%E -5.99%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-20 21:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.87%EV -11.91%E -6.27%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-19 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -11.45%E -5.99%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -21.45%E -7.15%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 45.21%EV -13.77%E -7.40%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.51%EV -19.01%E -6.44%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.28%EV -16.21%E -5.07%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-04-19 16:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.43% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.12% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 25.45% | 10.1% | 2026-04-24 00:29 |