Школа коэффициентов

Lech Poznań v Arka Gdynia

Начало: 2026-05-08 18:32 UTC

Итог: Lech Poznań 1–1 Arka Gdynia

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

53 букмекерские конторы (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Lech Poznań (Хозяева)

Прогноз 70.65%1.42справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.51%
Преимущество -1.82%
Kelly -6.60%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.38

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
67.12%70.54%70.59%72.17%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.211.311.311.3882.64%76.08%76.34%72.46%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Arka Gdynia (Гости)

Прогноз 12.04%8.31справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.33%
Преимущество +0.609%
Kelly +0.687%
Рост +0.037%

при максимальном коэффициенте 8.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
10.53%12.07%12.09%13.45%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
6.507.487.508.7515.38%13.36%13.33%11.43%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 17.32%5.78справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.435%
Преимущество -0.076%
Kelly -0.092%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.16%17.39%17.32%19.55%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.505.075.005.7522.22%19.72%20.00%17.39%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (53 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.75%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.91%EV +5.33%E +0.609%K +0.687%G +0.037%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -4.76%E -0.866%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 18:29
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.83%EV -9.57%E -7.48%K -34.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +2.32%E +0.273%K +0.309%G +0.007%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -8.23%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:30
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -11.69%E -9.35%K -46.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV +2.32%E +0.273%K +0.309%G +0.007%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 18:30
Marathon Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.82%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.03%EV +1.11%E +0.133%K +0.150%G +0.002%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -6.50%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 18:29
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 71.36%EV -5.33%E -3.98%K -15.69%G +0.000%8.18I 12.22%NM 11.69%EV -1.53%E -0.188%K -0.214%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 16.95%EV -2.34%E -0.415%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 18:29
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.42%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%8.07I 12.39%NM 11.77%EV -2.86%E -0.354%K -0.404%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.81%EV -2.17%E -0.383%K -0.466%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 18:29
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -4.76%E -0.866%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 18:28
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:29
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -10.28%E -8.09%K -38.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -3.03%E -0.542%K -0.659%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:29
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 18:29
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-08 18:29
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -11.69%E -9.35%K -46.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-08 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.73%EV -11.69%E -9.35%K -46.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -22.08%E -4.91%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-08 18:29
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 70.93%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.67%EV -4.91%E -0.621%K -0.711%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -8.23%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 18:29
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.93%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.67%EV -4.91%E -0.621%K -0.711%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -8.23%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 18:29
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -5.33%E -3.98%K -15.69%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.11%EV -6.71%E -0.866%K -0.994%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:29
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.78%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -6.71%E -0.866%K -0.994%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.51%EV -15.15%E -3.09%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 18:29
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.37%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.04%EV -8.52%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -9.96%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:30
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:30
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:29
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:30
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.76%E -0.866%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:30
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -0.435%E -0.076%K -0.092%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 18:30
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 70.45%EV -7.45%E -5.69%K -24.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.25%EV -7.36%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 18:28
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 69.27%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-08 18:29
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.69%E -9.35%K -46.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-08 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -10.92%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.03%E -0.542%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:29
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -10.92%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.03%E -0.542%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:30
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -10.92%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.03%E -0.542%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:29
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 70.14%EV -10.98%E -8.72%K -42.25%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.19%EV -12.73%E -1.76%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-08 18:28
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 70.17%EV -12.40%E -10.00%K -51.66%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.25%EV -14.54%E -2.05%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.58%EV -14.29%E -2.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-08 18:29
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:29
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:24
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:29
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:29
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:29
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -3.92%E -2.88%K -10.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -18.62%E -3.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -4.63%E -3.43%K -13.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -18.62%E -3.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -4.63%E -3.43%K -13.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -18.62%E -3.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 18:29
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -4.76%E -0.866%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 18:29
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 18:29
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 18:29
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 70.68%EV -14.52%E -12.00%K -69.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.22%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-08 18:29
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.12%EV -5.33%E -3.98%K -15.69%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -18.75%E -2.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -20.35%E -4.42%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 18:30
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 67.45%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.19%EV -18.75%E -2.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -20.35%E -4.42%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 18:29
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.50%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -18.75%E -2.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -22.08%E -4.91%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-08 18:30
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.40%EV -10.98%E -8.72%K -42.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -21.76%E -3.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.15%EV -11.69%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-08 18:30
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.7%2026-05-08 18:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.7%2026-05-08 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.7%2026-05-08 18:30
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.46%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%0.8%2026-05-08 18:30
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-05-08 18:30
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.78%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66%2.1%2026-05-08 18:30