مدرسة الاحتمالات

Lech Poznań v Arka Gdynia

البداية: 2026-05-08 18:32 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Lech Poznań 1–1 Arka Gdynia

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Lech Poznań (المضيف)

التنبؤ 70.65%1.42السعر العادل
EV -2.51%
الأفضلية -1.82%
Kelly -6.60%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.12%70.54%70.59%72.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.211.311.311.3882.64%76.08%76.34%72.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arka Gdynia (الضيف)

التنبؤ 12.04%8.31السعر العادل
EV +5.33%
الأفضلية +0.609%
Kelly +0.687%
النمو +0.037%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
10.53%12.07%12.09%13.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.507.487.508.7515.38%13.36%13.33%11.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 17.32%5.78السعر العادل
EV -0.435%
الأفضلية -0.076%
Kelly -0.092%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.16%17.39%17.32%19.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.075.005.7522.22%19.72%20.00%17.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.75%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.91%EV +5.33%E +0.609%K +0.687%G +0.037%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -4.76%E -0.866%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 18:29
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.83%EV -9.57%E -7.48%K -34.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +2.32%E +0.273%K +0.309%G +0.007%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -8.23%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:30
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -11.69%E -9.35%K -46.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV +2.32%E +0.273%K +0.309%G +0.007%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 18:30
Marathon Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.82%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.03%EV +1.11%E +0.133%K +0.150%G +0.002%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -6.50%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 18:29
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 71.36%EV -5.33%E -3.98%K -15.69%G +0.000%8.18I 12.22%NM 11.69%EV -1.53%E -0.188%K -0.214%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 16.95%EV -2.34%E -0.415%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 18:29
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.42%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%8.07I 12.39%NM 11.77%EV -2.86%E -0.354%K -0.404%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.81%EV -2.17%E -0.383%K -0.466%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 18:29
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -4.76%E -0.866%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 18:28
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:29
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -10.28%E -8.09%K -38.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -3.03%E -0.542%K -0.659%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:29
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 18:29
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-08 18:29
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -11.69%E -9.35%K -46.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-08 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.73%EV -11.69%E -9.35%K -46.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -22.08%E -4.91%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-08 18:29
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 70.93%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.67%EV -4.91%E -0.621%K -0.711%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -8.23%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 18:29
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.93%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.67%EV -4.91%E -0.621%K -0.711%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -8.23%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 18:29
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -5.33%E -3.98%K -15.69%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.11%EV -6.71%E -0.866%K -0.994%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:29
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.78%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -6.71%E -0.866%K -0.994%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.51%EV -15.15%E -3.09%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 18:29
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.37%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.04%EV -8.52%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -9.96%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:30
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:30
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:29
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:30
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.76%E -0.866%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:30
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -0.435%E -0.076%K -0.092%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 18:30
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 70.45%EV -7.45%E -5.69%K -24.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.25%EV -7.36%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 18:28
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 69.27%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-08 18:29
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.69%E -9.35%K -46.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-08 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -10.92%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.03%E -0.542%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:29
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -10.92%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.03%E -0.542%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:30
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -10.92%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.03%E -0.542%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:29
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 70.14%EV -10.98%E -8.72%K -42.25%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.19%EV -12.73%E -1.76%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-08 18:28
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 70.17%EV -12.40%E -10.00%K -51.66%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.25%EV -14.54%E -2.05%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.58%EV -14.29%E -2.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-08 18:29
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:29
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:24
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:29
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:29
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:29
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:29
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -3.92%E -2.88%K -10.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -18.62%E -3.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -4.63%E -3.43%K -13.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -18.62%E -3.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -4.63%E -3.43%K -13.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -18.62%E -3.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 18:29
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -4.76%E -0.866%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 18:29
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 18:29
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 18:29
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 70.68%EV -14.52%E -12.00%K -69.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.22%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-08 18:29
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.12%EV -5.33%E -3.98%K -15.69%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -18.75%E -2.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -20.35%E -4.42%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 18:30
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 67.45%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.19%EV -18.75%E -2.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -20.35%E -4.42%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 18:29
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.50%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -18.75%E -2.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -22.08%E -4.91%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-08 18:30
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.40%EV -10.98%E -8.72%K -42.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -21.76%E -3.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.15%EV -11.69%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-08 18:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.7%2026-05-08 18:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.7%2026-05-08 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.7%2026-05-08 18:30
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.46%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%0.8%2026-05-08 18:30
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-05-08 18:30
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.78%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66%2.1%2026-05-08 18:30