L’École des cotesFrançais
Lech Poznań v Arka Gdynia
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lech Poznań (Local)
Prévision 70.65%1.42cote équitable
EV -2.51%
Avantage -1.82%
Kelly -6.60%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.12%70.54%70.59%72.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.211.311.311.3882.64%76.08%76.34%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Arka Gdynia (Visiteur)
Prévision 12.04%8.31cote équitable
EV +5.33%
Avantage +0.609%
Kelly +0.687%
Croissance +0.037%
avec la cote maximale 8.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.53%12.07%12.09%13.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.487.508.7515.38%13.36%13.33%11.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 17.32%5.78cote équitable
EV -0.435%
Avantage -0.076%
Kelly -0.092%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.16%17.39%17.32%19.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.075.005.7522.22%19.72%20.00%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.75%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.91%EV +5.33%E +0.609%K +0.687%G +0.037% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -4.76%E -0.866%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.83%EV -9.57%E -7.48%K -34.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +2.32%E +0.273%K +0.309%G +0.007% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -8.23%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -11.69%E -9.35%K -46.76%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV +2.32%E +0.273%K +0.309%G +0.007% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.82%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.03%EV +1.11%E +0.133%K +0.150%G +0.002% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -6.50%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.36%EV -5.33%E -3.98%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 8.18I 12.22%NM 11.69%EV -1.53%E -0.188%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.95%EV -2.34%E -0.415%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.42%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 8.07I 12.39%NM 11.77%EV -2.86%E -0.354%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.81%EV -2.17%E -0.383%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -4.76%E -0.866%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 18:28 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -10.28%E -8.09%K -38.07%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -3.03%E -0.542%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -11.69%E -9.35%K -46.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.73%EV -11.69%E -9.35%K -46.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -22.08%E -4.91%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.93%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.67%EV -4.91%E -0.621%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -8.23%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.93%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.67%EV -4.91%E -0.621%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -8.23%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -5.33%E -3.98%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.11%EV -6.71%E -0.866%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.78%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -6.71%E -0.866%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.51%EV -15.15%E -3.09%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.37%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.04%EV -8.52%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -9.96%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.76%E -0.866%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -0.435%E -0.076%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Bovada | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.45%EV -7.45%E -5.69%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.25%EV -7.36%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 18:28 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.27%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.69%E -9.35%K -46.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -10.92%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.03%E -0.542%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -10.92%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.03%E -0.542%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| BetUS | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -10.92%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.03%E -0.542%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.14%EV -10.98%E -8.72%K -42.25%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.19%EV -12.73%E -1.76%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-08 18:28 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 70.17%EV -12.40%E -10.00%K -51.66%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.25%EV -14.54%E -2.05%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.58%EV -14.29%E -2.89%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -3.92%E -2.88%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -18.62%E -3.96%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -4.63%E -3.43%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -18.62%E -3.96%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -4.63%E -3.43%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -18.62%E -3.96%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -4.76%E -0.866%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 70.68%EV -14.52%E -12.00%K -69.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.22%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.12%EV -5.33%E -3.98%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -18.75%E -2.78%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -20.35%E -4.42%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.45%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.19%EV -18.75%E -2.78%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -20.35%E -4.42%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.50%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -18.75%E -2.78%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -22.08%E -4.91%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.40%EV -10.98%E -8.72%K -42.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -21.76%E -3.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.15%EV -11.69%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.46% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.78% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66% | 2.1% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |