Szkoła KursówPolski
Lech Poznań v Arka Gdynia
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Lech Poznań (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 70.65%1.42kurs godziwy
EV -2.51%
Przewaga -1.82%
Kelly -6.60%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.38
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
67.12%70.54%70.59%72.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.211.311.311.3882.64%76.08%76.34%72.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Arka Gdynia (Goście)
Prognoza 12.04%8.31kurs godziwy
EV +5.33%
Przewaga +0.609%
Kelly +0.687%
Wzrost +0.037%
przy maksymalnym kursie 8.75
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
10.53%12.07%12.09%13.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
6.507.487.508.7515.38%13.36%13.33%11.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 17.32%5.78kurs godziwy
EV -0.435%
Przewaga -0.076%
Kelly -0.092%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 5.75
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
16.16%17.39%17.32%19.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.505.075.005.7522.22%19.72%20.00%17.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.75%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.91%EV +5.33%E +0.609%K +0.687%G +0.037% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -4.76%E -0.866%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.83%EV -9.57%E -7.48%K -34.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +2.32%E +0.273%K +0.309%G +0.007% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -8.23%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -11.69%E -9.35%K -46.76%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV +2.32%E +0.273%K +0.309%G +0.007% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.82%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.03%EV +1.11%E +0.133%K +0.150%G +0.002% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -6.50%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.36%EV -5.33%E -3.98%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 8.18I 12.22%NM 11.69%EV -1.53%E -0.188%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.95%EV -2.34%E -0.415%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.42%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 8.07I 12.39%NM 11.77%EV -2.86%E -0.354%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.81%EV -2.17%E -0.383%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -4.76%E -0.866%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 18:28 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -10.28%E -8.09%K -38.07%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -3.03%E -0.542%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -11.69%E -9.35%K -46.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.73%EV -11.69%E -9.35%K -46.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -22.08%E -4.91%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.93%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.67%EV -4.91%E -0.621%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -8.23%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.93%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.67%EV -4.91%E -0.621%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -8.23%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -5.33%E -3.98%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.11%EV -6.71%E -0.866%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.78%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -6.71%E -0.866%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.51%EV -15.15%E -3.09%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.37%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.04%EV -8.52%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -9.96%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.76%E -0.866%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -0.435%E -0.076%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Bovada | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.45%EV -7.45%E -5.69%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.25%EV -7.36%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 18:28 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.27%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.69%E -9.35%K -46.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -10.92%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.03%E -0.542%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -10.92%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.03%E -0.542%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| BetUS | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -10.92%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.03%E -0.542%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.14%EV -10.98%E -8.72%K -42.25%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.19%EV -12.73%E -1.76%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-08 18:28 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 70.17%EV -12.40%E -10.00%K -51.66%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.25%EV -14.54%E -2.05%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.58%EV -14.29%E -2.89%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -3.92%E -2.88%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -18.62%E -3.96%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -4.63%E -3.43%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -18.62%E -3.96%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -4.63%E -3.43%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -18.62%E -3.96%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -4.76%E -0.866%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 70.68%EV -14.52%E -12.00%K -69.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.22%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.12%EV -5.33%E -3.98%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -18.75%E -2.78%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -20.35%E -4.42%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.45%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.19%EV -18.75%E -2.78%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -20.35%E -4.42%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.50%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -18.75%E -2.78%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -22.08%E -4.91%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.40%EV -10.98%E -8.72%K -42.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -21.76%E -3.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.15%EV -11.69%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.46% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.78% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66% | 2.1% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |