La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Lech Poznań v Arka Gdynia
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Lech Poznań (Casa)
Previsione 70.65%1.42quota equa
EV -2.51%
Vantaggio -1.82%
Kelly -6.60%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.12%70.54%70.59%72.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.211.311.311.3882.64%76.08%76.34%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Arka Gdynia (Trasferta)
Previsione 12.04%8.31quota equa
EV +5.33%
Vantaggio +0.609%
Kelly +0.687%
Crescita +0.037%
ipotizzando la quota massima 8.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.53%12.07%12.09%13.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.507.487.508.7515.38%13.36%13.33%11.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 17.32%5.78quota equa
EV -0.435%
Vantaggio -0.076%
Kelly -0.092%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.16%17.39%17.32%19.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.075.005.7522.22%19.72%20.00%17.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.75%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.91%EV +5.33%E +0.609%K +0.687%G +0.037% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -4.76%E -0.866%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.83%EV -9.57%E -7.48%K -34.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +2.32%E +0.273%K +0.309%G +0.007% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -8.23%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -11.69%E -9.35%K -46.76%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV +2.32%E +0.273%K +0.309%G +0.007% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.82%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.03%EV +1.11%E +0.133%K +0.150%G +0.002% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -6.50%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.36%EV -5.33%E -3.98%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 8.18I 12.22%NM 11.69%EV -1.53%E -0.188%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.95%EV -2.34%E -0.415%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.42%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 8.07I 12.39%NM 11.77%EV -2.86%E -0.354%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.81%EV -2.17%E -0.383%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -4.76%E -0.866%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 18:28 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -10.28%E -8.09%K -38.07%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -3.03%E -0.542%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -11.69%E -9.35%K -46.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.73%EV -11.69%E -9.35%K -46.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -3.70%E -0.463%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -22.08%E -4.91%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.93%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.67%EV -4.91%E -0.621%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -8.23%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.93%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.67%EV -4.91%E -0.621%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -8.23%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -5.33%E -3.98%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.11%EV -6.71%E -0.866%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.78%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -6.71%E -0.866%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.51%EV -15.15%E -3.09%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.37%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.04%EV -8.52%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -9.96%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -16.88%E -3.52%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.76%E -0.866%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -0.435%E -0.076%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Bovada | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.45%EV -7.45%E -5.69%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.25%EV -7.36%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 18:28 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.27%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.69%E -9.35%K -46.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -9.72%E -1.30%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -10.92%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.03%E -0.542%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -10.92%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.03%E -0.542%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| BetUS | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -10.92%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -3.03%E -0.542%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.14%EV -10.98%E -8.72%K -42.25%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.19%EV -12.73%E -1.76%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-08 18:28 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 70.17%EV -12.40%E -10.00%K -51.66%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.25%EV -14.54%E -2.05%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.58%EV -14.29%E -2.89%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -2.51%E -1.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -17.75%E -3.74%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.09%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -3.92%E -2.88%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -18.62%E -3.96%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -4.63%E -3.43%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -18.62%E -3.96%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.56%EV -4.63%E -3.43%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -18.62%E -3.96%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -4.76%E -0.866%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -8.87%E -6.87%K -30.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 70.68%EV -14.52%E -12.00%K -69.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.22%EV -15.74%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -13.42%E -2.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.12%EV -5.33%E -3.98%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -18.75%E -2.78%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -20.35%E -4.42%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.45%EV -6.75%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.19%EV -18.75%E -2.78%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -20.35%E -4.42%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.50%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -18.75%E -2.78%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -22.08%E -4.91%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.40%EV -10.98%E -8.72%K -42.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -21.76%E -3.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.15%EV -11.69%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.46% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.78% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66% | 2.1% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |