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Jagiellonia Białystok v Widzew Łódź

2026-08-09 18:15 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)

Prediction 40.00%2.50fair odd
EV -4.81%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -3.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.47%40.01%39.95%40.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.302.3846.51%43.98%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Widzew Łódź (Visit)

Prediction 30.95%3.23fair odd
EV -4.06%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.26%30.96%30.95%31.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.932.983.1037.04%34.14%33.56%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.06%3.44fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.356%
Kelly -0.505%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.73%29.03%29.10%30.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.143.153.4033.33%31.82%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jagiellonia Białystok (Local): 40.00%; Widzew Łódź (Visit): 30.95%; Draw: 29.06%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.40, with an expected value of -1.21%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 39.85%EV -4.81%E -2.02%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.55%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 19:50
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -6.01%E -2.56%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -1.21%E -0.356%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 19:00
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -6.81%E -2.92%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.44%EV -5.30%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 19:05
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -7.21%E -3.11%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -7.77%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 19:50
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -7.21%E -3.11%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -7.77%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 19:50
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -7.21%E -3.11%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -9.35%E -3.00%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 22:51
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.11%EV -7.61%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -5.92%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 18:49
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.01%E -3.48%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 19:04
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.01%E -3.48%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 19:10
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.01%E -3.48%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.02%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 19:50
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.01%E -3.48%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.02%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-03 00:18
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.01%E -3.48%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.02%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-03 00:18
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.01%E -3.48%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.87%E -3.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.02%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 19:05
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.01%E -3.48%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 19:45
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.01%E -3.48%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 19:44
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.01%E -3.48%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 19:45
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -10.01%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 19:04
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.87%E -3.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -5.57%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 19:09
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -14.89%E -5.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-02 19:49
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.44%EV -13.21%E -6.09%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -11.80%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -11.38%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-02 19:49
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -14.01%E -6.52%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -13.35%E -4.77%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-02 19:50
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.02%EV -14.01%E -6.52%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -14.89%E -5.42%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-02 19:05
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 39.98%EV -14.01%E -6.52%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.84%EV -16.44%E -6.09%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.18%EV -11.38%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-02 19:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 39.66%2.84I 35.21%NM 31.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%13.6%2026-08-02 19:55