Language:English
Jagiellonia Białystok v Widzew Łódź
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)
Prediction 37.49%2.67fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -0.823%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.14%37.65%37.46%40.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.402.402.6145.87%41.60%41.67%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Widzew Łódź (Visit)
Prediction 33.47%2.99fair odd
EV +2.09%
Edge +0.684%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.50%33.32%33.46%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.572.802.753.0538.91%35.67%36.36%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.04%3.44fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.374%
Kelly -0.530%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.93%29.04%29.08%30.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.153.153.4034.48%31.72%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jagiellonia Białystok (Local): 37.49%; Widzew Łódź (Visit): 33.47%; Draw: 29.04%. For Widzew Łódź (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -13.02%E -5.61%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -13.02%E -5.61%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -13.02%E -5.61%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -13.02%E -5.61%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.26%EV -14.52%E -6.37%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV +0.414%E +0.138%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -15.64%E -6.95%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -1.26%E -0.427%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -15.64%E -6.95%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -1.26%E -0.427%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -15.64%E -6.95%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -1.26%E -0.427%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -2.93%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 18:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.92%EV -2.15%E -0.823%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.34%EV -3.27%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.74%EV -5.92%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.46%EV -18.27%E -8.38%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.62%EV -3.60%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.92%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.61%E -1.62%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -1.27%E -0.374%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -4.40%E -1.72%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -4.61%E -1.62%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 17:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -4.61%E -1.62%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -2.52%E -0.970%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -2.52%E -0.970%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.78%EV -5.52%E -2.19%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -8.82%E -2.81%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 17:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -4.40%E -1.72%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.88%EV -8.62%E -3.16%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 18:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -4.40%E -1.72%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.88%EV -8.62%E -3.16%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -7.02%E -2.83%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -8.96%E -3.29%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -7.02%E -2.83%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -8.96%E -3.29%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.44%EV -2.15%E -0.823%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.09%EV -9.29%E -3.43%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.47%EV -3.01%E -0.903%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.05%EV -7.40%E -2.99%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 18:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -11.90%E -5.06%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 18:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -15.79%E -5.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-09 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-09 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 18:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.98%EV -11.90%E -5.06%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -11.90%E -5.06%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 18:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.64%EV -11.90%E -5.06%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -11.97%E -4.55%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.72%EV -10.56%E -3.43%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -12.31%E -4.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 18:08 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -12.31%E -4.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.20%EV -12.31%E -4.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -12.97%E -4.99%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.07%EV -11.90%E -5.06%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.90%EV -13.98%E -5.44%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.04%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.20% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.20% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.20% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.20% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.