Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.61
avec la cote maximale 3.05
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jagiellonia Białystok (Local) : 37.49% ; Widzew Łódź (Visiteur) : 33.47% ; Match nul : 29.04%. Pour Widzew Łódź (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.99. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.05, soit une espérance positive de +2.09%.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -13.02%E -5.61%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -13.02%E -5.61%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -13.02%E -5.61%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -13.02%E -5.61%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.26%EV -14.52%E -6.37%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV +0.414%E +0.138%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -15.64%E -6.95%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -1.26%E -0.427%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -15.64%E -6.95%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -1.26%E -0.427%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -15.64%E -6.95%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -1.26%E -0.427%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -2.93%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 18:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.92%EV -2.15%E -0.823%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.34%EV -3.27%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.74%EV -5.92%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.46%EV -18.27%E -8.38%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.62%EV -3.60%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.92%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.61%E -1.62%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -1.27%E -0.374%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -4.40%E -1.72%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -4.61%E -1.62%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 17:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -4.61%E -1.62%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -2.52%E -0.970%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -2.52%E -0.970%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.78%EV -5.52%E -2.19%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -8.82%E -2.81%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 17:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -4.40%E -1.72%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.88%EV -8.62%E -3.16%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 18:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -4.40%E -1.72%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.88%EV -8.62%E -3.16%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -7.02%E -2.83%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -8.96%E -3.29%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -7.02%E -2.83%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -8.96%E -3.29%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.44%EV -2.15%E -0.823%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.09%EV -9.29%E -3.43%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.47%EV -3.01%E -0.903%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.05%EV -7.40%E -2.99%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 18:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -11.90%E -5.06%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 18:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -15.79%E -5.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-09 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-09 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 18:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.98%EV -11.90%E -5.06%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -11.90%E -5.06%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 18:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.64%EV -11.90%E -5.06%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -11.97%E -4.55%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.72%EV -10.56%E -3.43%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -12.31%E -4.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 18:08 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -12.31%E -4.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.20%EV -12.31%E -4.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -12.97%E -4.99%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.07%EV -11.90%E -5.06%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.90%EV -13.98%E -5.44%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.04%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.20% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.20% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.20% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.20% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |