Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jagiellonia Białystok v Widzew Łódź

2026-08-09 18:15 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Testa a testa

26 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jagiellonia Białystok (Casa)

Previsione 39.99%2.50quota equa
EV -5.21%
Vantaggio -2.20%
Kelly -3.81%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.25%39.96%39.95%40.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.282.302.3746.51%43.84%43.48%42.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Widzew Łódź (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.75%3.25quota equa
EV -4.05%
Vantaggio -1.30%
Kelly -1.91%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.88%30.79%30.69%31.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.952.993.1237.04%33.92%33.44%32.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.25%3.42quota equa
EV -0.545%
Vantaggio -0.160%
Kelly -0.227%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.73%29.25%29.36%30.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.133.133.4033.33%31.95%31.90%29.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Jagiellonia Białystok (Casa): 39.99%; Widzew Łódź (Trasferta): 30.75%; Pareggio: 29.25%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.42. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.40, con un valore atteso del -0.545%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.21%E -2.20%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.38%EV -4.05%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 04:10
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.25%EV -5.61%E -2.38%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 04:09
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.25%EV -5.61%E -2.38%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 04:10
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -6.01%E -2.56%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -0.545%E -0.160%K -0.227%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 19:00
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -6.81%E -2.92%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.44%EV -5.89%E -1.93%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.86%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 19:05
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -7.21%E -3.11%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -8.35%E -2.80%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.86%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 19:50
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -7.21%E -3.11%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -8.35%E -2.80%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.86%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 19:50
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.11%EV -7.61%E -3.30%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -6.51%E -2.14%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.86%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 18:49
Bovada2.31I 43.29%NM 39.83%EV -7.61%E -3.30%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.49%EV -8.74%E -2.80%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-03 04:09
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.01%E -3.48%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.47%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 19:04
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -8.01%E -3.48%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 04:30
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.01%E -3.48%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 19:10
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.01%E -3.48%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 19:50
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.01%E -3.48%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-03 00:18
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.01%E -3.48%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-03 00:18
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.01%E -3.48%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.43%E -3.97%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 19:05
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.01%E -3.48%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 19:45
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.01%E -3.48%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 19:44
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.01%E -3.48%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 19:45
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -10.01%E -4.45%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -3.47%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 19:04
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.43%E -3.97%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -4.93%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 19:09
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -12.01%E -5.46%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -15.43%E -5.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -9.32%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-02 19:49
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.44%EV -13.21%E -6.09%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -12.35%E -4.33%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -10.78%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-02 19:49
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -14.01%E -6.52%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -13.89%E -4.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-02 19:50
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.02%EV -14.01%E -6.52%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -15.43%E -5.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-02 19:05
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 39.98%EV -14.01%E -6.52%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.84%EV -16.96%E -6.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.18%EV -10.78%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-02 19:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 39.66%2.84I 35.21%NM 31.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%13.6%2026-08-02 19:55