Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.61
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jagiellonia Białystok (Local): 37.49%; Widzew Łódź (Visitante): 33.47%; Empate: 29.04%. Para Widzew Łódź (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.99. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.05, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.09%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -13.02%E -5.61%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -13.02%E -5.61%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -13.02%E -5.61%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -13.02%E -5.61%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV +2.09%E +0.684%K +1.02%G +0.021% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.26%EV -14.52%E -6.37%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV +0.414%E +0.138%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -15.64%E -6.95%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -1.26%E -0.427%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -15.64%E -6.95%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -1.26%E -0.427%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -15.64%E -6.95%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -1.26%E -0.427%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -2.93%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 18:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.92%EV -2.15%E -0.823%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.34%EV -3.27%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.74%EV -5.92%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.46%EV -18.27%E -8.38%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.62%EV -3.60%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.92%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.61%E -1.62%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -1.27%E -0.374%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 17:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -4.40%E -1.72%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -4.61%E -1.62%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 17:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -4.61%E -1.62%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -2.52%E -0.970%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -2.52%E -0.970%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.78%EV -5.52%E -2.19%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -8.82%E -2.81%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 17:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -4.40%E -1.72%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.88%EV -8.62%E -3.16%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 18:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -4.40%E -1.72%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.88%EV -8.62%E -3.16%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -7.02%E -2.83%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -8.96%E -3.29%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -7.02%E -2.83%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -8.96%E -3.29%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.44%EV -2.15%E -0.823%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.09%EV -9.29%E -3.43%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.47%EV -3.01%E -0.903%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 18:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.05%EV -7.40%E -2.99%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 18:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -11.90%E -5.06%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 18:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -15.79%E -5.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-09 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-09 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 18:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.98%EV -11.90%E -5.06%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -8.53%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -11.90%E -5.06%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -11.30%E -4.26%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 18:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.64%EV -11.90%E -5.06%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -11.97%E -4.55%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.72%EV -10.56%E -3.43%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -12.31%E -4.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 18:08 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -12.31%E -4.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -13.77%E -5.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.20%EV -12.31%E -4.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -12.97%E -4.99%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -7.08%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.07%EV -11.90%E -5.06%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.90%EV -13.98%E -5.44%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.04%EV -12.89%E -4.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.20% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.20% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.20% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.20% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-08-09 18:10 |