Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jagiellonia Białystok v Śląsk Wrocław

2026-09-06 18:15 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)

Prediction 53.72%1.86fair odd
EV -4.91%
Edge -2.78%
Kelly -6.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.52%53.70%53.68%55.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.711.711.7761.73%58.45%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Śląsk Wrocław (Visit)

Prediction 21.97%4.55fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -0.756%
Kelly -0.978%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.39%22.01%21.98%23.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.144.204.4027.03%24.15%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.31%4.11fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -0.692%
Kelly -0.923%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.38%24.29%24.34%25.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.723.754.0028.57%26.89%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jagiellonia Białystok (Local): 53.72%; Śląsk Wrocław (Visit): 21.97%; Draw: 24.31%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.00, with an expected value of -2.77%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -4.91%E -2.78%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.52%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -4.91%E -2.78%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.52%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 18:20
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -4.91%E -2.78%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.52%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -4.91%E -2.78%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.52%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -4.91%E -2.78%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.52%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 18:25
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -4.91%E -2.78%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.52%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -4.91%E -2.78%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.52%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 18:25
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -4.91%E -2.78%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.52%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 18:35
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -5.99%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -3.33%E -0.756%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.77%E -0.692%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.11%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 18:25
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -7.60%E -4.42%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.61%EV -5.30%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.25%EV -6.66%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 19:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -7.60%E -4.42%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.72%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -7.60%E -4.42%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.72%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 23:30
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -7.60%E -4.42%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 19:10
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -7.60%E -4.42%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 19:10
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -7.60%E -4.42%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.92%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:25
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.79%EV -8.14%E -4.76%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.52%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.77%E -0.692%K -0.923%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 18:33
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -8.14%E -4.76%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -5.52%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -4.86%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -2.77%E -0.692%K -0.923%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 01:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -4.86%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.12%EV -6.66%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 19:05
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.72%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 18:30
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.52%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -12.11%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 18:35
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.62%EV -9.21%E -5.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.62%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 18:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.63%EV -9.75%E -5.80%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -12.11%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -14.92%E -4.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.63%EV -9.75%E -5.80%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -12.11%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -14.92%E -4.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.63%EV -9.75%E -5.80%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -12.11%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -14.92%E -4.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.63%EV -9.75%E -5.80%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -12.11%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -14.92%E -4.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 18:25
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -10.29%E -6.16%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.72%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.87%EV -10.82%E -6.52%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -17.61%E -4.70%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 19:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.15%EV -11.36%E -6.89%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -14.31%E -3.67%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-30 18:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.66%EV -11.90%E -7.25%K -18.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.34%EV -18.71%E -5.06%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-30 19:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 52.78%EV -12.43%E -7.63%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.64%EV -16.51%E -4.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -14.92%E -4.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-30 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.93%EV -12.97%E -8.01%K -20.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -16.51%E -4.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -14.92%E -4.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-30 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 53.29%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%4.8%2026-08-31 01:25