Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.73
assuming max odds 4.82
assuming max odds 4.24
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jagiellonia Białystok (Local): 56.08%; Śląsk Wrocław (Visit): 20.92%; Draw: 22.99%. For Śląsk Wrocław (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.78. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.853%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.63%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.86%EV +0.853%E +0.177%K +0.223%G +0.002% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.51%EV -6.42%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 18:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV +0.434%E +0.090%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV +0.434%E +0.090%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 18:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 17:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.75%E -0.815%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.75%E -0.815%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -11.48%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 18:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -3.75%E -0.815%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.17%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -4.80%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 17:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -10.27%E -6.42%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -10.27%E -6.42%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.54%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%EV -3.43%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 18:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.67%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.22%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.11%EV -11.48%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.43%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.37%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.37%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.52%EV -12.51%E -8.02%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.27%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.52%EV -12.51%E -8.02%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.27%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -9.40%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.67%EV -10.27%E -6.42%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -9.40%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -13.77%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -10.03%E -2.33%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -10.03%E -2.33%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -10.03%E -2.33%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.83%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -10.03%E -2.33%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -13.77%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.47%EV -11.28%E -2.66%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.47%EV -2.51%E -0.591%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 18:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.12%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -12.12%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -12.12%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.02%E -4.89%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.69%EV -10.83%E -6.81%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.60%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-06 17:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.63%EV -10.83%E -6.81%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.80%EV -10.79%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 17:48 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.35%EV -11.39%E -7.21%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.32%EV -13.77%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -16.30%E -4.08%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 13:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.30%EV -8.02%E -4.89%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -16.30%E -4.08%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.44%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -16.30%E -4.08%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.07% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.95% | 0.1% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.11% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.17% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.55% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28% | 2.3% | 2026-09-06 18:10 |