Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.82
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.24
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jagiellonia Białystok (Local): 56.08%; Śląsk Wrocław (Visitante): 20.92%; Empate: 22.99%. Para Śląsk Wrocław (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.78. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.82, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.853%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.63%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.86%EV +0.853%E +0.177%K +0.223%G +0.002% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.51%EV -6.42%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 18:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV +0.434%E +0.090%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV +0.434%E +0.090%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 18:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 17:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.75%E -0.815%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.75%E -0.815%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -11.48%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 18:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -3.75%E -0.815%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.17%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -4.80%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 17:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -10.27%E -6.42%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -10.27%E -6.42%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.54%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%EV -3.43%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 18:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.67%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.22%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.11%EV -11.48%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.43%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.37%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.37%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.52%EV -12.51%E -8.02%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.27%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.52%EV -12.51%E -8.02%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.27%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -9.40%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.67%EV -10.27%E -6.42%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -9.40%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -13.77%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -10.03%E -2.33%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -10.03%E -2.33%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -10.03%E -2.33%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.83%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -10.03%E -2.33%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -13.77%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.47%EV -11.28%E -2.66%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.47%EV -2.51%E -0.591%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 18:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.12%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -12.12%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -12.12%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.02%E -4.89%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.69%EV -10.83%E -6.81%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.60%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-06 17:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.63%EV -10.83%E -6.81%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.80%EV -10.79%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 17:48 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.35%EV -11.39%E -7.21%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.32%EV -13.77%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -16.30%E -4.08%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 13:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.30%EV -8.02%E -4.89%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -16.30%E -4.08%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.44%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -16.30%E -4.08%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.07% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.95% | 0.1% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.11% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.17% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.55% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28% | 2.3% | 2026-09-06 18:10 |