StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jagiellonia Białystok v Śląsk Wrocław

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-06 18:17 UTC

Endstand: Jagiellonia Białystok 2–1 Śląsk Wrocław

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jagiellonia Białystok (Heim)

Prognose 56.08%1.78faire Quote
EV -2.98%
Vorteil -1.72%
Kelly -4.08%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.73

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.30%56.17%56.13%58.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.561.631.651.7364.10%61.22%60.61%57.80%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Śląsk Wrocław (Auswärts)

Prognose 20.92%4.78faire Quote
EV +0.853%
Vorteil +0.177%
Kelly +0.223%
Wachstum +0.002%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.82

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.13%20.85%20.89%22.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.004.434.404.8225.00%22.56%22.73%20.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 22.99%4.35faire Quote
EV -2.51%
Vorteil -0.591%
Kelly -0.774%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.24

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.99%22.98%22.98%24.27%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.753.974.004.2426.67%25.22%25.00%23.58%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jagiellonia Białystok (Heim): 56.08%; Śląsk Wrocław (Auswärts): 20.92%; Unentschieden: 22.99%. Für Śląsk Wrocław (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.78. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.82 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.853%.

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.63%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.86%EV +0.853%E +0.177%K +0.223%G +0.002%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.51%EV -6.42%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 18:00
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV +0.434%E +0.090%K +0.114%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV +0.434%E +0.090%K +0.114%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:50
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 17:50
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 17:49
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.75%E -0.815%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 17:50
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.75%E -0.815%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -11.48%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 18:09
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -3.75%E -0.815%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.17%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -4.80%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 17:50
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 17:48
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 17:45
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -10.27%E -6.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -10.27%E -6.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.54%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%EV -3.43%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 17:30
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:09
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.67%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.22%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.11%EV -11.48%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.43%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.37%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.37%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.52%EV -12.51%E -8.02%K -22.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.27%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-06 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.52%EV -12.51%E -8.02%K -22.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.27%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-06 17:50
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -9.40%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 17:55
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.67%EV -10.27%E -6.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -9.40%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -13.77%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -10.03%E -2.33%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 13:35
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -10.03%E -2.33%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 13:35
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -10.03%E -2.33%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 13:35
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.83%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -10.03%E -2.33%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -13.77%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 17:50
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.47%EV -11.28%E -2.66%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.47%EV -2.51%E -0.591%K -0.774%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 18:05
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.12%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 19:50
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -12.12%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -12.12%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.02%E -4.89%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.69%EV -10.83%E -6.81%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.60%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.63%EV -10.83%E -6.81%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.80%EV -10.79%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 17:48
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.35%EV -11.39%E -7.21%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.32%EV -13.77%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-06 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -16.30%E -4.08%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 13:35
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.30%EV -8.02%E -4.89%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -16.30%E -4.08%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.44%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -16.30%E -4.08%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-06 17:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 58.07%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.95%0.1%2026-09-06 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-09-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-09-06 18:10
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-09-06 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.11%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-09-06 17:55
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.17%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28%2.3%2026-09-06 18:10