Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Jagiellonia Białystok v Śląsk Wrocław

Początek: 2026-09-06 18:17 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Jagiellonia Białystok 2–1 Śląsk Wrocław

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Jagiellonia Białystok (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 56.08%1.78kurs godziwy
EV -2.98%
Przewaga -1.72%
Kelly -4.08%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.73

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
54.30%56.17%56.13%58.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.561.631.651.7364.10%61.22%60.61%57.80%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Śląsk Wrocław (Goście)

Prognoza 20.92%4.78kurs godziwy
EV +0.853%
Przewaga +0.177%
Kelly +0.223%
Wzrost +0.002%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.82

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.13%20.85%20.89%22.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.004.434.404.8225.00%22.56%22.73%20.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 22.99%4.35kurs godziwy
EV -2.51%
Przewaga -0.591%
Kelly -0.774%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.24

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.99%22.98%22.98%24.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.753.974.004.2426.67%25.22%25.00%23.58%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Jagiellonia Białystok (Gospodarze): 56.08%; Śląsk Wrocław (Goście): 20.92%; Remis: 22.99%. Dla wyniku Śląsk Wrocław (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.78. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.82, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.853%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.63%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.86%EV +0.853%E +0.177%K +0.223%G +0.002%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.51%EV -6.42%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 18:00
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV +0.434%E +0.090%K +0.114%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV +0.434%E +0.090%K +0.114%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:50
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 17:50
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 17:49
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.75%E -0.815%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 17:50
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.75%E -0.815%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -11.48%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 18:09
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -3.75%E -0.815%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.17%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -4.80%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 17:50
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 17:48
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 17:45
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -10.27%E -6.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -10.27%E -6.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.54%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%EV -3.43%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 17:30
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:09
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.67%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.22%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.11%EV -11.48%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.43%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.37%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.37%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.52%EV -12.51%E -8.02%K -22.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.27%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-06 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.52%EV -12.51%E -8.02%K -22.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.27%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-06 17:50
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -9.40%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 17:55
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.67%EV -10.27%E -6.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -9.40%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -13.77%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -10.03%E -2.33%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 13:35
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -10.03%E -2.33%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 13:35
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -10.03%E -2.33%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 13:35
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.83%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -10.03%E -2.33%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -13.77%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 17:50
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.47%EV -11.28%E -2.66%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.47%EV -2.51%E -0.591%K -0.774%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 18:05
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.12%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 19:50
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -12.12%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -12.12%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.02%E -4.89%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.69%EV -10.83%E -6.81%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.60%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.63%EV -10.83%E -6.81%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.80%EV -10.79%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 17:48
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.35%EV -11.39%E -7.21%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.32%EV -13.77%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-06 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -16.30%E -4.08%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 13:35
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.30%EV -8.02%E -4.89%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -16.30%E -4.08%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.44%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -16.30%E -4.08%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-06 17:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 58.07%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.95%0.1%2026-09-06 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-09-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-09-06 18:10
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-09-06 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.11%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-09-06 17:55
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.17%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28%2.3%2026-09-06 18:10