Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jagiellonia Białystok v Śląsk Wrocław

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 18:17 UTC

Score final : Jagiellonia Białystok 2–1 Śląsk Wrocław

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)

Prévision 56.08%1.78cote équitable
EV -2.98%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -4.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.30%56.17%56.13%58.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.561.631.651.7364.10%61.22%60.61%57.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Śląsk Wrocław (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.92%4.78cote équitable
EV +0.853%
Avantage +0.177%
Kelly +0.223%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.13%20.85%20.89%22.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.434.404.8225.00%22.56%22.73%20.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.99%4.35cote équitable
EV -2.51%
Avantage -0.591%
Kelly -0.774%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.99%22.98%22.98%24.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.753.974.004.2426.67%25.22%25.00%23.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jagiellonia Białystok (Local) : 56.08% ; Śląsk Wrocław (Visiteur) : 20.92% ; Match nul : 22.99%. Pour Śląsk Wrocław (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.78. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.82, soit une espérance positive de +0.853%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.63%EV -5.22%E -3.09%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.86%EV +0.853%E +0.177%K +0.223%G +0.002%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.51%EV -6.42%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 18:00
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV +0.434%E +0.090%K +0.114%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV +0.434%E +0.090%K +0.114%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:50
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 17:50
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -6.90%E -4.16%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -1.66%E -0.353%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 17:49
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.75%E -0.815%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 17:50
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.75%E -0.815%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -11.48%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 18:09
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -3.75%E -0.815%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.17%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -4.80%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 17:50
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 17:48
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 17:45
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -10.27%E -6.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -10.27%E -6.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -5.84%E -1.30%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.54%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%EV -3.43%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 17:30
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:09
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.67%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.22%EV -7.94%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.11%EV -11.48%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.43%E -0.816%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.37%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.37%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.52%EV -12.51%E -8.02%K -22.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.27%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-06 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.52%EV -12.51%E -8.02%K -22.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.27%EV -8.98%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-06 17:50
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -9.40%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 17:55
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.67%EV -10.27%E -6.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -9.40%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -13.77%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 17:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -10.03%E -2.33%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 13:35
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -10.03%E -2.33%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 13:35
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -10.03%E -2.33%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 13:35
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.83%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -10.03%E -2.33%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -13.77%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 17:50
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.47%EV -11.28%E -2.66%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.47%EV -2.51%E -0.591%K -0.774%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 18:05
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.34%E -3.80%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.12%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 19:50
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -12.12%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -9.71%E -6.03%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -12.12%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.02%E -4.89%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.69%EV -10.83%E -6.81%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.60%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -10.33%E -2.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.63%EV -10.83%E -6.81%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.80%EV -10.79%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 17:48
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.35%EV -11.39%E -7.21%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -14.21%E -3.47%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.32%EV -13.77%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-06 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -16.30%E -4.08%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 13:35
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.30%EV -8.02%E -4.89%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -16.30%E -4.08%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.44%EV -12.62%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -11.95%E -7.61%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -16.30%E -4.08%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-06 17:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 58.07%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.95%0.1%2026-09-06 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-09-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-09-06 18:10
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-09-06 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.11%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-09-06 17:55
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.17%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28%2.3%2026-09-06 18:10