A Escola das Odds

Jagiellonia Białystok v Lech Poznań

Início: 2026-04-04 18:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)

Previsão 35.65%2.80odd justa
EV -0.523%
Vantagem -0.187%
Kelly -0.292%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.47%35.73%35.70%37.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.332.532.502.7942.92%39.58%40.00%35.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lech Poznań (Visitante)

Previsão 38.49%2.60odd justa
EV -1.46%
Vantagem -0.571%
Kelly -0.937%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.33%38.38%38.52%39.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.422.402.5644.44%41.25%41.67%39.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.85%3.87odd justa
EV -0.463%
Vantagem -0.120%
Kelly -0.162%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.68%25.89%25.79%27.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.533.583.8532.26%28.31%27.97%25.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.79I 35.84%NM 34.47%EV -0.523%E -0.187%K -0.292%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.25%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.28%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 18:01
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.49%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.70%EV -1.46%E -0.571%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.81%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 18:09
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.49%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.70%EV -1.46%E -0.571%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.81%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 18:09
Bovada2.68I 37.31%NM 34.47%EV -4.44%E -1.66%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.14%EV -9.16%E -3.88%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 17:56
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 17:59
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 18:01
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 18:01
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 18:01
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -0.463%E -0.120%K -0.162%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 18:01
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -3.77%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:01
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:01
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:01
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 17:24
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.28%EV -6.85%E -2.83%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:00
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 18:01
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 18:00
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -9.55%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:01
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.83%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.56%EV -2.62%E -1.03%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.61%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 18:04
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.51%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 18:01
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.51%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 18:01
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -8.39%E -3.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:05
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 18:10
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.33%EV -2.23%E -0.879%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 08:30
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 18:01
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.39%E -3.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 18:08
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.38%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.70%EV -9.55%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 18:01
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 18:01
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.39%E -3.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 18:00
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.47%E -4.99%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 18:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.47%E -4.99%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 18:04
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.97%EV -12.62%E -5.56%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 18:03
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-04 18:04
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -12.65%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -3.77%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 17:30
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -12.65%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 18:01
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.86%EV -12.65%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 18:01
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -4.54%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -4.54%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 17:30
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.79%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.18%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-04 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.20%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.55%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.25%EV -19.85%E -6.40%K -9.45%G +0.000%18.4%2026-04-04 18:00
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -15.14%E -6.36%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 17:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.26%EV -15.14%E -6.36%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.38%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-04 18:01
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 37.76%EV -16.21%E -6.90%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.52%EV -6.47%E -2.66%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 17:30
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 37.79%EV -16.92%E -7.26%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.69%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 17:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-04-04 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-04-04 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-04-04 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-04-04 18:05
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.32%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.68%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.00%2.6%2026-04-04 18:10
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 34.92%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-04-04 18:01