Die Schule der Quoten

Jagiellonia Białystok v Lech Poznań

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-04 18:15 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Jagiellonia Białystok (Heim)

Prognose 35.65%2.80faire Quote
EV -0.523%
Vorteil -0.187%
Kelly -0.292%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.79

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
34.47%35.73%35.70%37.82%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.332.532.502.7942.92%39.58%40.00%35.84%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Lech Poznań (Auswärts)

Prognose 38.49%2.60faire Quote
EV -1.46%
Vorteil -0.571%
Kelly -0.937%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.56

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
36.33%38.38%38.52%39.25%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.252.422.402.5644.44%41.25%41.67%39.06%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 25.85%3.87faire Quote
EV -0.463%
Vorteil -0.120%
Kelly -0.162%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.85

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.68%25.89%25.79%27.51%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.103.533.583.8532.26%28.31%27.97%25.97%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle2.79I 35.84%NM 34.47%EV -0.523%E -0.187%K -0.292%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.25%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.28%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 18:01
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.49%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.70%EV -1.46%E -0.571%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.81%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 18:09
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.49%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.70%EV -1.46%E -0.571%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.81%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 18:09
Bovada2.68I 37.31%NM 34.47%EV -4.44%E -1.66%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.14%EV -9.16%E -3.88%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 17:56
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 17:59
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 18:01
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 18:01
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 18:01
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -0.463%E -0.120%K -0.162%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 18:01
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -3.77%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:01
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:01
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:01
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 17:24
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.28%EV -6.85%E -2.83%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:00
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 18:01
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 18:00
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -9.55%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:01
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.83%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.56%EV -2.62%E -1.03%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.61%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 18:04
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.51%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 18:01
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.51%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 18:01
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -8.39%E -3.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:05
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 18:10
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.33%EV -2.23%E -0.879%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 08:30
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 18:01
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.39%E -3.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 18:08
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.38%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.70%EV -9.55%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 18:01
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 18:01
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.39%E -3.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 18:00
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.47%E -4.99%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 18:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.47%E -4.99%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 18:04
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.97%EV -12.62%E -5.56%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 18:03
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-04 18:04
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -12.65%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -3.77%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 17:30
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -12.65%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 18:01
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.86%EV -12.65%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 18:01
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -4.54%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -4.54%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 17:30
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.79%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.18%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-04 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.20%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.55%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.25%EV -19.85%E -6.40%K -9.45%G +0.000%18.4%2026-04-04 18:00
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -15.14%E -6.36%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 17:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.26%EV -15.14%E -6.36%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.38%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-04 18:01
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 37.76%EV -16.21%E -6.90%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.52%EV -6.47%E -2.66%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 17:30
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 37.79%EV -16.92%E -7.26%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.69%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 17:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-04-04 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-04-04 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-04-04 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-04-04 18:05
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.32%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.68%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.00%2.6%2026-04-04 18:10
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 34.92%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-04-04 18:01