مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jagiellonia Białystok v Lech Poznań

البداية: 2026-04-04 18:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jagiellonia Białystok (المضيف)

التنبؤ 35.65%2.80السعر العادل
EV -0.523%
الأفضلية -0.187%
Kelly -0.292%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.79

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.47%35.73%35.70%37.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.332.532.502.7942.92%39.58%40.00%35.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Lech Poznań (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.49%2.60السعر العادل
EV -1.46%
الأفضلية -0.571%
Kelly -0.937%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.56

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.33%38.38%38.52%39.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.422.402.5644.44%41.25%41.67%39.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.85%3.87السعر العادل
EV -0.463%
الأفضلية -0.120%
Kelly -0.162%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.68%25.89%25.79%27.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.533.583.8532.26%28.31%27.97%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.79I 35.84%NM 34.47%EV -0.523%E -0.187%K -0.292%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.25%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.28%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 18:01
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.49%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.70%EV -1.46%E -0.571%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.81%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 18:09
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.49%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.70%EV -1.46%E -0.571%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.81%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 18:09
Bovada2.68I 37.31%NM 34.47%EV -4.44%E -1.66%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.14%EV -9.16%E -3.88%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 17:56
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 17:59
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 18:01
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 18:01
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 18:01
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -0.463%E -0.120%K -0.162%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 18:01
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -3.77%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:01
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:01
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:01
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 17:24
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.28%EV -6.85%E -2.83%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:00
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 18:01
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 18:00
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -9.55%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:01
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.83%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.56%EV -2.62%E -1.03%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.61%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 18:04
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.51%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 18:01
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.51%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 18:01
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -8.39%E -3.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:05
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 18:10
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.33%EV -2.23%E -0.879%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 08:30
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 18:01
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.39%E -3.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 18:08
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.38%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.70%EV -9.55%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 18:01
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 18:01
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.39%E -3.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 18:00
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.47%E -4.99%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 18:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.47%E -4.99%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 18:04
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.97%EV -12.62%E -5.56%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 18:03
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-04 18:04
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -12.65%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -3.77%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 17:30
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -12.65%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 18:01
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.86%EV -12.65%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 18:01
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -4.54%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -4.54%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 17:30
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.79%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.18%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-04 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.20%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.55%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.25%EV -19.85%E -6.40%K -9.45%G +0.000%18.4%2026-04-04 18:00
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -15.14%E -6.36%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 17:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.26%EV -15.14%E -6.36%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.38%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-04 18:01
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 37.76%EV -16.21%E -6.90%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.52%EV -6.47%E -2.66%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 17:30
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 37.79%EV -16.92%E -7.26%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.69%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 17:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-04-04 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-04-04 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-04-04 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-04-04 18:05
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.32%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.68%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.00%2.6%2026-04-04 18:10
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 34.92%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-04-04 18:01