La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jagiellonia Białystok v Lech Poznań
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)
Predicción 35.65%2.80momio equitativo
EV -0.523%
Ventaja -0.187%
Kelly -0.292%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.47%35.73%35.70%37.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.332.532.502.7942.92%39.58%40.00%35.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lech Poznań (Visitante)
Predicción 38.49%2.60momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -0.571%
Kelly -0.937%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.33%38.38%38.52%39.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.422.402.5644.44%41.25%41.67%39.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.85%3.87momio equitativo
EV -0.463%
Ventaja -0.120%
Kelly -0.162%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.68%25.89%25.79%27.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.533.583.8532.26%28.31%27.97%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.47%EV -0.523%E -0.187%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.25%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.28%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.49%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.70%EV -1.46%E -0.571%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.81%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.49%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.70%EV -1.46%E -0.571%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.81%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| Bovada | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.47%EV -4.44%E -1.66%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.14%EV -9.16%E -3.88%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 17:56 |
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -0.463%E -0.120%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -3.77%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 17:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.28%EV -6.85%E -2.83%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -9.55%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| 1xBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.83%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.56%EV -2.62%E -1.03%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.61%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 18:04 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.51%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.51%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -8.39%E -3.53%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 18:05 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 18:10 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.33%EV -2.23%E -0.879%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| Bet Right | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.39%E -3.53%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 18:08 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.38%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.70%EV -9.55%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.39%E -3.53%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.47%E -4.99%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-04 18:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.47%E -4.99%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-04 18:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.97%EV -12.62%E -5.56%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 18:03 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-04 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 17:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 17:30 |
| Casumo | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 17:30 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 17:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 17:30 |
| betPARX | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 17:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 17:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -12.65%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -3.77%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 17:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -12.65%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.86%EV -12.65%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -4.54%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -4.54%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 17:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.79%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.18%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.20%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.55%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.25%EV -19.85%E -6.40%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 18.4% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -15.14%E -6.36%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-04 17:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.26%EV -15.14%E -6.36%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.38%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.76%EV -16.21%E -6.90%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.52%EV -6.47%E -2.66%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-04 17:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.79%EV -16.92%E -7.26%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.69%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 17:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.72% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.36% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.36% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.36% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 18:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.32% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.68% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.00% | 2.6% | 2026-04-04 18:10 |
| Kalshi | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.92% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |