Szkoła Kursów

Jagiellonia Białystok v Lech Poznań

Początek: 2026-04-04 18:15 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Jagiellonia Białystok (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 35.65%2.80kurs godziwy
EV -0.523%
Przewaga -0.187%
Kelly -0.292%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.79

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.47%35.73%35.70%37.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.332.532.502.7942.92%39.58%40.00%35.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Lech Poznań (Goście)

Prognoza 38.49%2.60kurs godziwy
EV -1.46%
Przewaga -0.571%
Kelly -0.937%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.56

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
36.33%38.38%38.52%39.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.422.402.5644.44%41.25%41.67%39.06%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 25.85%3.87kurs godziwy
EV -0.463%
Przewaga -0.120%
Kelly -0.162%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.85

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.68%25.89%25.79%27.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.533.583.8532.26%28.31%27.97%25.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.79I 35.84%NM 34.47%EV -0.523%E -0.187%K -0.292%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.25%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.28%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 18:01
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.49%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.70%EV -1.46%E -0.571%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.81%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 18:09
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.49%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.70%EV -1.46%E -0.571%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.81%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 18:09
Bovada2.68I 37.31%NM 34.47%EV -4.44%E -1.66%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.14%EV -9.16%E -3.88%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 17:56
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 17:59
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 18:01
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 18:01
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 18:01
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -0.463%E -0.120%K -0.162%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 18:01
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -3.77%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:01
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:01
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:01
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 17:24
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.28%EV -6.85%E -2.83%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:00
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 18:01
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 18:00
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -9.55%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:01
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.83%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.56%EV -2.62%E -1.03%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.61%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 18:04
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.51%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 18:01
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.51%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 18:01
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -8.39%E -3.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:05
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 18:10
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.33%EV -2.23%E -0.879%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 08:30
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 18:01
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.39%E -3.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 18:08
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.38%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.70%EV -9.55%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 18:01
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 18:01
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.39%E -3.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 18:00
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.47%E -4.99%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 18:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.47%E -4.99%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 18:04
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.97%EV -12.62%E -5.56%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 18:03
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-04 18:04
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -12.65%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -3.77%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 17:30
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -12.65%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 18:01
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.86%EV -12.65%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 18:01
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -4.54%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -4.54%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 17:30
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.79%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.18%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-04 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.20%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.55%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.25%EV -19.85%E -6.40%K -9.45%G +0.000%18.4%2026-04-04 18:00
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -15.14%E -6.36%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 17:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.26%EV -15.14%E -6.36%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.38%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-04 18:01
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 37.76%EV -16.21%E -6.90%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.52%EV -6.47%E -2.66%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 17:30
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 37.79%EV -16.92%E -7.26%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.69%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 17:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-04-04 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-04-04 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-04-04 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-04-04 18:05
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.32%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.68%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.00%2.6%2026-04-04 18:10
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 34.92%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-04-04 18:01