L’École des cotes

Jagiellonia Białystok v Lech Poznań

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 18:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)

Prévision 35.65%2.80cote équitable
EV -0.523%
Avantage -0.187%
Kelly -0.292%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.47%35.73%35.70%37.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.332.532.502.7942.92%39.58%40.00%35.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lech Poznań (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.49%2.60cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -0.571%
Kelly -0.937%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.33%38.38%38.52%39.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.422.402.5644.44%41.25%41.67%39.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.85%3.87cote équitable
EV -0.463%
Avantage -0.120%
Kelly -0.162%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.68%25.89%25.79%27.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.533.583.8532.26%28.31%27.97%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.79I 35.84%NM 34.47%EV -0.523%E -0.187%K -0.292%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.25%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.28%EV -5.38%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 18:01
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.49%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.70%EV -1.46%E -0.571%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.81%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 18:09
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.49%EV -3.02%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.70%EV -1.46%E -0.571%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.81%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 18:09
Bovada2.68I 37.31%NM 34.47%EV -4.44%E -1.66%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.14%EV -9.16%E -3.88%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 17:56
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 17:59
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 18:01
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 18:01
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 18:01
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -0.463%E -0.120%K -0.162%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 18:01
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -3.77%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:01
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:01
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:01
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 17:24
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.28%EV -6.85%E -2.83%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:00
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 18:01
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 18:00
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.30%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -9.55%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:01
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.83%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.56%EV -2.62%E -1.03%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.61%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 18:04
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.51%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 18:01
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.51%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 18:01
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -8.39%E -3.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 18:05
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 18:10
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.33%EV -2.23%E -0.879%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 08:30
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 18:01
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.39%E -3.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 18:08
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.38%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.70%EV -9.55%E -4.06%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 18:01
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 18:01
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.39%E -3.53%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 18:00
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.47%E -4.99%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 18:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.47%E -4.99%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 18:04
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.97%EV -12.62%E -5.56%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 18:03
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -10.86%E -4.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-04 18:04
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -11.58%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -1.85%E -0.724%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 17:30
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -12.65%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -3.77%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 17:30
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -12.65%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 18:01
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.86%EV -12.65%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 18:01
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -4.54%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -4.54%E -1.83%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 17:30
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.79%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.18%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -14.68%E -4.45%K -6.38%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-04 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.20%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.55%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.25%EV -19.85%E -6.40%K -9.45%G +0.000%18.4%2026-04-04 18:00
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -15.14%E -6.36%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -5.70%E -2.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 17:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.26%EV -15.14%E -6.36%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -13.39%E -5.95%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.38%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-04 18:01
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 37.76%EV -16.21%E -6.90%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.52%EV -6.47%E -2.66%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 17:30
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 37.79%EV -16.92%E -7.26%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.69%EV -7.62%E -3.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 17:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-04-04 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-04-04 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-04-04 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.36%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-04-04 18:05
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.32%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.68%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.00%2.6%2026-04-04 18:10
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 34.92%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-04-04 18:01