Language:English
Górnik Zabrze v Korona Kielce
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Górnik Zabrze (Local)
Prediction 49.85%2.01fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -4.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.55%49.92%49.64%51.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.851.851.9358.14%53.94%54.05%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Korona Kielce (Visit)
Prediction 23.50%4.26fair odd
EV +2.45%
Edge +0.563%
Kelly +0.730%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 4.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.79%23.40%23.77%25.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.873.854.3629.41%25.82%25.97%22.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.65%3.75fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.450%
Kelly -0.618%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.98%26.67%26.58%28.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.393.403.6933.33%29.50%29.41%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Górnik Zabrze (Local): 49.85%; Korona Kielce (Visit): 23.50%; Draw: 26.65%. For Korona Kielce (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.36, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.93%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.03%EV +2.45%E +0.563%K +0.730%G +0.018% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.04%EV -1.66%E -0.450%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +1.04%E +0.243%K +0.316%G +0.003% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 15:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +1.04%E +0.243%K +0.316%G +0.003% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -1.31%E -0.311%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.06%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -6.78%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -3.66%E -0.892%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 15:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -3.66%E -0.892%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 15:08 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -3.66%E -0.892%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -8.27%E -4.50%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -3.66%E -0.892%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 15:11 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -8.27%E -4.50%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -3.66%E -0.892%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 15:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.06%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -4.83%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -8.86%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 15:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.49%EV -4.29%E -2.23%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.52%EV -5.07%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.19%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 15:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 15:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -3.79%E -1.96%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 15:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -3.79%E -1.96%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -3.79%E -1.96%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 15:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -3.79%E -1.96%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 15:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.78%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-13 15:32 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.87%EV -8.27%E -4.50%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.59%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.59%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.59%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.59%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 15:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.59%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.45%EV -7.28%E -3.91%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 04:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 15:18 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -9.27%E -5.09%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -6.78%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.55%EV -7.28%E -3.91%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 15:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -12.76%E -7.29%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-17 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -8.27%E -4.50%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.60%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.36%EV -13.39%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-18 15:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.55%EV -10.77%E -6.01%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.47%EV -10.77%E -6.01%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.59%EV -11.26%E -3.38%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-18 15:11 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.15%EV -14.26%E -8.29%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.31%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -13.39%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-18 15:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.51%EV -9.77%E -5.40%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -14.23%E -3.90%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.72%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-18 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -15.41%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-13 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -15.41%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-13 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.19%EV -11.26%E -6.33%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -16.58%E -4.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-18 15:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -20.10%E -5.91%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -20.05%E -6.68%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-04-18 15:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 15:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-04-18 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.44% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.76% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81% | 2.2% | 2026-04-18 15:15 |