مدرسة الاحتمالات

Górnik Zabrze v Korona Kielce

البداية: 2026-04-18 15:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Górnik Zabrze 1–0 Korona Kielce

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Górnik Zabrze (المضيف)

التنبؤ 49.85%2.01السعر العادل
EV -3.79%
الأفضلية -1.96%
Kelly -4.07%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.93

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.55%49.92%49.64%51.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.721.851.851.9358.14%53.94%54.05%51.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Korona Kielce (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.50%4.26السعر العادل
EV +2.45%
الأفضلية +0.563%
Kelly +0.730%
النمو +0.018%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.79%23.40%23.77%25.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.873.854.3629.41%25.82%25.97%22.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.65%3.75السعر العادل
EV -1.66%
الأفضلية -0.450%
Kelly -0.618%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.98%26.67%26.58%28.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.393.403.6933.33%29.50%29.41%27.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.93%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.03%EV +2.45%E +0.563%K +0.730%G +0.018%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.04%EV -1.66%E -0.450%K -0.618%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 15:10
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +1.04%E +0.243%K +0.316%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 15:14
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +1.04%E +0.243%K +0.316%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 15:15
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -1.31%E -0.311%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.06%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 15:10
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -6.78%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -3.66%E -0.892%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 15:19
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -3.66%E -0.892%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 15:08
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -3.66%E -0.892%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:10
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -8.27%E -4.50%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -3.66%E -0.892%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:11
BetUS1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -8.27%E -4.50%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -3.66%E -0.892%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:15
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.06%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -4.83%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -8.86%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 15:20
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.49%EV -4.29%E -2.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.52%EV -5.07%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.19%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 15:20
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 15:08
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 15:10
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -3.79%E -1.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 15:14
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -3.79%E -1.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 15:05
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -3.79%E -1.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 15:05
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -3.79%E -1.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 15:09
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.78%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 15:32
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 15:10
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 15:10
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 49.87%EV -8.27%E -4.50%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 15:10
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.59%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 15:05
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.59%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 15:10
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 48.59%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 15:05
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.59%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 15:04
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 48.59%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 15:10
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.45%EV -7.28%E -3.91%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 15:10
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 15:05
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 15:15
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 04:25
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 15:18
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 15:05
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -9.27%E -5.09%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 15:10
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 15:10
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -6.78%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:15
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.55%EV -7.28%E -3.91%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 15:05
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 15:10
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -12.76%E -7.29%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-17 15:35
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -8.27%E -4.50%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 15:10
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 48.60%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.36%EV -13.39%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-18 15:05
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.55%EV -10.77%E -6.01%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.47%EV -10.77%E -6.01%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.59%EV -11.26%E -3.38%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-18 15:11
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.15%EV -14.26%E -8.29%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.31%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -13.39%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-18 15:20
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.51%EV -9.77%E -5.40%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -14.23%E -3.90%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.72%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -15.41%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-13 15:35
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -15.41%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-13 15:35
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.19%EV -11.26%E -6.33%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -16.58%E -4.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-18 15:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -20.10%E -5.91%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -20.05%E -6.68%K -10.02%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-18 15:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-04-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-04-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-04-18 15:20
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-04-18 15:20
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-04-18 15:15
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81%2.2%2026-04-18 15:15