L’École des cotes

Górnik Zabrze v Korona Kielce

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 15:30 UTC

Score final : Górnik Zabrze 1–0 Korona Kielce

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Górnik Zabrze (Local)

Prévision 49.85%2.01cote équitable
EV -3.79%
Avantage -1.96%
Kelly -4.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.55%49.92%49.64%51.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.851.851.9358.14%53.94%54.05%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Korona Kielce (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.50%4.26cote équitable
EV +2.45%
Avantage +0.563%
Kelly +0.730%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 4.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.79%23.40%23.77%25.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.873.854.3629.41%25.82%25.97%22.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.65%3.75cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -0.450%
Kelly -0.618%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.98%26.67%26.58%28.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.393.403.6933.33%29.50%29.41%27.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.93%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.03%EV +2.45%E +0.563%K +0.730%G +0.018%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.04%EV -1.66%E -0.450%K -0.618%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 15:10
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +1.04%E +0.243%K +0.316%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 15:14
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +1.04%E +0.243%K +0.316%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 15:15
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -1.31%E -0.311%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.06%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 15:10
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -6.78%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -3.66%E -0.892%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 15:19
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -3.66%E -0.892%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 15:08
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -3.66%E -0.892%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:10
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -8.27%E -4.50%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -3.66%E -0.892%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:11
BetUS1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -8.27%E -4.50%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -3.66%E -0.892%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:15
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.06%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -4.83%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -8.86%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 15:20
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.49%EV -4.29%E -2.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.52%EV -5.07%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.19%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 15:20
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 15:08
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 15:10
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -3.79%E -1.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 15:14
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -3.79%E -1.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 15:05
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -3.79%E -1.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 15:05
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -3.79%E -1.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 15:09
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.78%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 15:32
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 15:10
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 15:10
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 49.87%EV -8.27%E -4.50%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 15:10
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.59%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 15:05
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.59%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 15:10
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 48.59%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 15:05
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.59%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 15:04
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 48.59%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 15:10
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.45%EV -7.28%E -3.91%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 15:10
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 15:05
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 15:15
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 04:25
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 15:18
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 15:05
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -9.27%E -5.09%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 15:10
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 15:10
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -6.78%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:15
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.55%EV -7.28%E -3.91%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 15:05
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 15:10
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -12.76%E -7.29%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-17 15:35
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -8.27%E -4.50%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 15:10
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 48.60%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.36%EV -13.39%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-18 15:05
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.55%EV -10.77%E -6.01%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.47%EV -10.77%E -6.01%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.59%EV -11.26%E -3.38%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-18 15:11
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.15%EV -14.26%E -8.29%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.31%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -13.39%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-18 15:20
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.51%EV -9.77%E -5.40%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -14.23%E -3.90%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.72%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -15.41%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-13 15:35
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -15.41%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-13 15:35
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.19%EV -11.26%E -6.33%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -16.58%E -4.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-18 15:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -20.10%E -5.91%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -20.05%E -6.68%K -10.02%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-18 15:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-04-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-04-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-04-18 15:20
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-04-18 15:20
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-04-18 15:15
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81%2.2%2026-04-18 15:15