La scuola delle quote

Górnik Zabrze v Korona Kielce

Inizio: 2026-04-18 15:30 UTC

Finale: Górnik Zabrze 1–0 Korona Kielce

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Górnik Zabrze (Casa)

Previsione 49.85%2.01quota equa
EV -3.79%
Vantaggio -1.96%
Kelly -4.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.93

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.55%49.92%49.64%51.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.851.851.9358.14%53.94%54.05%51.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Korona Kielce (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.50%4.26quota equa
EV +2.45%
Vantaggio +0.563%
Kelly +0.730%
Crescita +0.018%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.79%23.40%23.77%25.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.873.854.3629.41%25.82%25.97%22.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.65%3.75quota equa
EV -1.66%
Vantaggio -0.450%
Kelly -0.618%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.98%26.67%26.58%28.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.393.403.6933.33%29.50%29.41%27.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.93%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.03%EV +2.45%E +0.563%K +0.730%G +0.018%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.04%EV -1.66%E -0.450%K -0.618%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 15:10
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +1.04%E +0.243%K +0.316%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 15:14
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV +1.04%E +0.243%K +0.316%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 15:15
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -1.31%E -0.311%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.06%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 15:10
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -6.78%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -3.66%E -0.892%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 15:19
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -3.66%E -0.892%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 15:08
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -3.66%E -0.892%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 15:10
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -8.27%E -4.50%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -3.66%E -0.892%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:11
BetUS1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -8.27%E -4.50%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -3.66%E -0.892%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:15
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.06%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -4.83%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -8.86%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 15:20
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.49%EV -4.29%E -2.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.52%EV -5.07%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.19%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 15:20
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 15:08
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.01%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 15:10
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -3.79%E -1.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 15:14
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -3.79%E -1.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 15:05
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -3.79%E -1.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 15:05
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -3.79%E -1.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 15:09
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.78%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 15:32
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 15:10
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 15:10
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 49.87%EV -8.27%E -4.50%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.36%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 15:10
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.59%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 15:05
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.59%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 15:10
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 48.59%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 15:05
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.59%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 15:04
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 48.59%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 15:10
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.45%EV -7.28%E -3.91%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 15:10
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.53%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 15:05
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 15:15
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -4.78%E -2.50%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 04:25
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.77%E -4.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 15:18
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -6.28%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 15:05
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -9.27%E -5.09%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 15:10
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.71%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 15:10
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -6.78%E -3.62%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:15
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.55%EV -7.28%E -3.91%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 15:05
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.27%E -5.70%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 15:10
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -12.76%E -7.29%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -11.88%E -3.17%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-17 15:35
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -8.27%E -4.50%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 15:10
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 48.60%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.36%EV -13.39%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-18 15:05
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.55%EV -10.77%E -6.01%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.47%EV -10.77%E -6.01%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.59%EV -11.26%E -3.38%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-18 15:11
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.15%EV -14.26%E -8.29%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.31%EV -13.06%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -13.39%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-18 15:20
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.51%EV -9.77%E -5.40%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -14.23%E -3.90%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.72%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -15.41%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-13 15:35
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -15.41%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-13 15:35
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.19%EV -11.26%E -6.33%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -16.58%E -4.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-18 15:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -8.77%E -4.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -20.10%E -5.91%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -20.05%E -6.68%K -10.02%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-18 15:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-04-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-04-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-04-18 15:20
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-04-18 15:20
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-04-18 15:15
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81%2.2%2026-04-18 15:15